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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 2, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Detroit Red Wings 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 58% of the time.

DET winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Mantha, saved by Murray
  3. P1 1:49Shot by McCann, saved by Howard
  4. P1 1:50McIlrath: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET McIlrath, Frk, Chelios, Ehn, Kuffner · PIT Kessel, Trotman, Maatta, Blueger, McCann

  5. P1 2:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard4v5
  6. P1 2:18Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Howard4v5
  7. P1 3:43Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard4v5
  8. P1 4:26Shot by Hicketts, saved by Murray
  9. P1 5:39Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Howard
  10. P1 9:58Blueger: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Witkowski, Frk, Chelios, Ehn, Kuffner · PIT Kessel, Trotman, Maatta, Blueger, McCann

  11. P1 9:42Shot by Blueger, saved by Howard
  12. P1 10:20Goal by Bertuzzi (Athanasiou, Larkin)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin · PIT Cullen, Johnson, Rust, Maatta

  13. P1 11:03Shot by Mantha, saved by Murray
  14. P1 11:38Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Howard
  15. P1 14:19Shot by Cullen, saved by Howard
  16. P1 14:56Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard
  17. P1 15:09Shot by Chelios, saved by Murray
  18. P1 15:16Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  19. P1 16:56Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Murray
  20. P1 18:45Shot by McCann, saved by Howard
  21. P1 18:59Shot by Schultz, saved by Howard
  22. P1 19:38Goal by Kessel (Crosby, Guentzel)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · PIT Crosby, Johnson, Kessel, Schultz, Guentzel

  23. P1 19:59Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Murray
  27. P2 0:24Shot by Hirose, saved by Murray
  28. P2 0:55Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Murray
  29. P2 1:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  30. P2 2:20Shot by Hicketts, saved by Murray
  31. P2 3:14Shot by Turgeon, saved by Murray
  32. P2 5:04Larkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · PIT Crosby, Johnson, Kessel, Schultz, Guentzel

  33. P2 5:25Shot by McCann, saved by Howard4v5
  34. P2 5:50Shot by Helm, saved by Murray4v5
  35. P2 6:19Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard4v5
  36. P2 8:45Shot by Trotman, saved by Howard
  37. P2 9:01Shot by Witkowski, saved by Murray
  38. P2 10:26Goal by Bertuzzi (Helm, Larkin)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Helm, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin · PIT Crosby, Gudbranson, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson

  39. P2 15:13Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Murray
  40. P2 15:36Shot by Helm, saved by Murray
  41. P2 16:27Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  42. P2 16:32Shot by Simon, saved by Howard
  43. P2 18:00Shot by Rust, saved by Howard
  44. P2 18:36Shot by Guentzel, saved by Howard
  45. P2 18:39Shot by Guentzel, saved by Howard
  46. P2 19:05Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Murray
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:33Shot by Crosby, saved by Howard
  50. P3 0:47Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  51. P3 3:44Shot by Simon, saved by Howard
  52. P3 3:50Shot by Simon, saved by Howard
  53. P3 4:00Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Howard
  54. P3 4:43Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Murray
  55. P3 4:51Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard
  56. P3 6:12Shot by Blueger, saved by Howard
  57. P3 6:46Shot by Mantha, saved by Murray
  58. P3 7:28Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Howard
  59. P3 8:32Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Murray
  60. P3 9:01Shot by Guentzel, saved by Howard
  61. P3 9:08Shot by Mantha, saved by Murray
  62. P3 9:12Shot by Hirose, saved by Murray
  63. P3 9:21Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  64. P3 9:41Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Howard
  65. P3 10:27Shot by Ehn, saved by Murray
  66. P3 11:24Goal by Mantha (Larkin, Hronek)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hicketts, Hronek · PIT Crosby, Gudbranson, Guentzel, Pettersson, Simon

  67. P3 11:53Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Howard
  68. P3 12:04Shot by Guentzel, saved by Howard
  69. P3 12:20Shot by Guentzel, saved by Howard
  70. P3 14:14Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  71. P3 18:06Goal by Mantha (Bertuzzi, Kronwall)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Kessel, Schultz, Bjugstad, Guentzel

  72. P3 18:51Shot by Pettersson, saved by Howard
  73. P3 19:55Shot by Hirose, saved by Murray
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final