Tue, Apr 2, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 3, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 06 | 110 | 28 | 324 |
| ARI | 019 | 117 | 014 | 150 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 16:06ARIBrad RichardsonAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 19:59LAKKyle CliffordAssists: Tyler Toffoli, Adrian Kempe · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–1
- P3 3:29LAKTrevor LewisGWGAssists: Kyle Clifford · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 19:15LAKDrew DoughtyENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.63 xG3–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 5:53ARILawson Crouse: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:53LAKKyle Clifford: Instigator2 min
- P1 5:53LAKKyle Clifford: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:53LAKKyle Clifford: Misconduct10 min
- P1 7:29LAKMatt Roy: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P1 19:57LAKDerek Forbort: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:52LAKAnze Kopitar: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:35LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:03ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:24LAKDion Phaneuf: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Carter won the faceoff against Dvorak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo7:39
xG 0.36–0.25 (59%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Carter – Lewis – Clifford6:46
xG 0.10–0.05 (66%)attempts 2–2goals 1–0
- Kovalchuk – Amadio – Iafallo4:04
xG 0.12–0.08 (60%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Wagner4:03
xG 0.17–0.24 (41%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Phaneuf – LaDue11:55
xG 0.30–0.41 (42%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Doughty – Forbort16:11
xG 0.53–0.72 (43%)attempts 15–22goals 0–0
- Martinez – Roy14:36
xG 0.32–0.69 (31%)attempts 11–17goals 1–1
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Grabner – Hinostroza11:31
xG 0.58–0.30 (66%)attempts 14–7goals 1–0
- Stepan – Panik – Keller10:04
xG 0.43–0.17 (72%)attempts 15–7goals 0–1
- Cousins – Galchenyuk – Garland7:10
xG 0.30–0.22 (57%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Archibald – Dvorak – Crouse7:11
xG 0.29–0.31 (48%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson17:38
xG 0.88–0.66 (57%)attempts 23–12goals 0–1
- Hjalmarsson – Connauton4:18
xG 0.19–0.03 (84%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Oesterle4:27
xG 0.19–0.14 (58%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).