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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 4, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by Marleau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:47Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:42Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 4:30Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 4:41Goal by Marner (Hyman)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Rosen · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Gourde, Point, Cernak

  7. P1 5:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:59Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 6:17Shot by Rutta, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 7:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 8:18Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 8:31Shot by Rutta, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 8:41Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 9:40Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 12:33Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 13:08Shot by Marleau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 13:36Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 14:42Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 15:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 16:04Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 16:15Shot by Cernak, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 17:08Shot by Rosen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 3:22Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 4:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 5:17Coburn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Brown, Johnsson, Nylander · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Stralman, Paquette, Erne

  28. P2 5:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  29. P2 5:37Goal by Stamkos (McDonagh)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli

  30. P2 6:02Shot by Marleau, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  31. P2 7:09Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  32. P2 8:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen5v6
  33. P2 8:53Moore: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Brown, Johnsson, Nylander, Zaitsev · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev

  34. P2 9:36Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen4v5
  35. P2 10:26Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  36. P2 10:27Sergachev: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Dermott, Marner · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Joseph, Sergachev

  37. P2 10:36Shot by Johnsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  38. P2 10:50Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen4v4
  39. P2 13:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 14:07Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 14:49Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 15:16Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 19:08Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 19:58Shot by Coburn, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:01Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P3 2:05Shot by Rutta, saved by Andersen
  49. P3 2:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  50. P3 2:14Shot by Point, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 2:20Shot by Joseph, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 4:49Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 5:17Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 6:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 9:26Shot by Gourde, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 9:27Shot by Point, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 10:39Shot by Joseph, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 11:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 11:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 13:18Shot by Tavares, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 14:12Goal by Killorn (Stamkos, Sergachev)+36 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews, Rosen · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Sergachev

  62. P3 14:22Shot by Marleau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 17:54Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  64. P3 18:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  65. P3 18:16Shot by Marleau, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  66. P3 19:05Goal by Kucherov (McDonagh)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Rosen · TBL Callahan, McDonagh, Kucherov, Paquette, Cernak

  67. P3 19:27Shot by Ennis, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final