Thu, Apr 4, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.
36%
9%
48%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 24:06 | 0.04 | 56.5% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:03 | 0.09 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:26 | 0.88 | 60.0% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.49 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:36 | 0.09 | 55.8% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.13 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.68 | 47.6% | +55.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.01 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.05 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.23 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.39 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.12 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.00 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.14 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:07 | 0.15 | 58.1% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:33 | 0.12 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 3.23 | +2.2 | 59:24 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:52 | 0.11 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.03 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:34 | 0.41 | 42.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.20 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 19:02 | 0.71 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.32 | 44.3% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.03 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.16 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:56 | 0.65 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.03 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.23 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.02 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:05 | 0.06 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.00 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:17 | 0.16 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.10 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.97 | +1.0 | 58:28 |