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Ice Lab

Centre · #21

Brayden Point

Tampa Bay Lightning
Age
30
Shoots
Right
Height
180 cm
Weight
79 kg
Born
Calgary, CAN
Draft
2014, round 3, #79 (TBL)

Career · 2016–17 to 2026–27

Games
723
Goals
325
Points
687
TOI per game
19:04
xGF% (5v5)
53.5%
Goals above expected
+57.7

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2016–17TBL68182240+417:0812214.8%1214.751.1%
2017–18TBL82323466+1819:3721714.7%1127.155.9%
2018–19TBL79415192+2718:5519121.5%3528.653.1%
2019–20TBL66253964+2818:5414117.7%1420.257.7%
2020–21TBL56232548+218:2613117.6%1517.857.4%
2021–22TBL66283058−519:2817615.9%2228.251.6%
2022–23TBL82514495+219:4023521.7%3036.754.2%
2023–24TBL81464490−1620:0222720.3%3237.053.0%
2024–25TBL77424082+1719:2918922.2%3132.951.3%
2025–26TBL63183250+1218:1512914.0%1122.752.9%
2026–27TBL3112+220:26714.3%01.352.0%
Total1 team723325362687+9119:041,76518.4%213267.353.5%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.511.52100200300400500600700
12m14m16m18m20m22m100200300400500600700Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2016–17 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

1st line

99th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

1st line
  • Goals /601.4298th pct
  • Assists /601.5893rd pct
  • ixG /601.1696th pct
  • Goals above expected+57.799th pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)53.5%90th pct
  • CF% (5v5)52.0%83rd pct
  • Relative xGF%+1.778th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.4287th pct

Usage

1st line
  • TOI per game19:0496th pct
  • PP time share64.9%97th pct
  • Offensive zone starts70.0%90th pct
  • Quality of competition25.3%95th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Jake GuentzelPIT/TBL0.98
  2. Sam ReinhartBUF/FLA0.98
  3. Joe PavelskiSJS/DAL0.96
  4. Roope HintzDAL0.96
  5. Logan CooleyARI/UTA0.95
  6. Leon DraisaitlEDM0.95

Faceoffs

How often Point wins the draw over 2016–17 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1949+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

48.7%

3702–3906 · #137 of 211 regulars, 35th percentile

Against an average centre

49.3%

Opponents won 50.7% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.3% against them.

Wins above average

−51

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

10.9

7,608 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

48%1634 · +0.746%706 · +1.450%2514 · +2.449%185 · +1.056%284 · +0.649%195 · +0.954%234 · +1.245%392 · +1.747%1464 · +1.2Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone49.3% 1588–1633
  • Neutral zone49.7% 1259–1273
  • Defensive zone46.1% 855–1000

By strength

  • Even strength48.2% 3038–3262
  • Power play53.6% 569–492
  • Shorthanded38.5% 95–152

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +20 after a win, −11 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.6 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2016–1753244.7%45.2%
2017–18117447.4%48.1%
2018–1985650.8%51.2%
2019–2077751.1%51.5%
2020–2152049.4%50.1%
2021–2271751.0%52.0%
2022–2382250.7%51.2%
2023–2464445.7%46.4%
2024–2588648.5%49.5%
2025–2665345.8%46.9%
2026–272744.4%44.5%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+57.7 goals above expected

0100200300100200300400500600700Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed35.3 km/h80th pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph1496th pct
  • Hardest shot117.9 km/h37th pct
  • Distance skated15 km76th pct
  • Offensive-zone time52.0%98th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

37.8 km/h92nd pct

▼ −0.5 km/h since 2024–25

3436384021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 37.6 km/h, 93rd percentile (66 games)2022–23: 39.0 km/h, 100th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 38.9 km/h, 99th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 38.2 km/h, 97th percentile (77 games)2025–26: 37.8 km/h, 92nd percentile (63 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

16.498th pct

▼ −0.4 since 2024–25

051015202521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 16.6, 98th percentile (66 games)2022–23: 18.7, 99th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 16.1, 98th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 16.9, 99th percentile (77 games)2025–26: 16.4, 98th percentile (63 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.8 km70th pct

▲ +0.1 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 15.5 km, 42nd percentile (66 games)2022–23: 16.1 km, 85th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 15.9 km, 74th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 15.7 km, 56th percentile (77 games)2025–26: 15.8 km, 70th percentile (63 games)

Hardest shot

124.4 km/h3rd pct

▼ −7.6 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 137.4 km/h, 25th percentile (66 games)2022–23: 140.8 km/h, 39th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 140.8 km/h, 44th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 132.0 km/h, 15th percentile (77 games)2025–26: 124.4 km/h, 3rd percentile (63 games)

Offensive-zone time

44.8%85th pct

▼ −0.4 points since 2024–25

38%40%42%44%46%48%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 45.2%, 88th percentile (66 games)2022–23: 45.3%, 85th percentile (82 games)2023–24: 45.4%, 88th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 45.2%, 89th percentile (77 games)2025–26: 44.8%, 85th percentile (63 games)