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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 4, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Detroit Red Wings 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 74% of the time.

PIT winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:58Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  3. P1 2:11Frk: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Bjugstad, Gudbranson, Guentzel, Pettersson, Simon · DET McIlrath, Puempel, Chelios, Ehn, Kuffner

  4. P1 2:23Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard5v4
  5. P1 2:24Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard5v4
  6. P1 5:40Guentzel: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Letang, Maatta, Blueger, Guentzel · DET Bertuzzi, Mantha, Chelios, Larkin, Hronek

  7. P1 6:20Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard4v5
  8. P1 7:31Shot by Frk, saved by Murray4v5
  9. P1 7:35Goal by Puempel (Hronek, Hirose)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Wilson, Gudbranson, Rust · DET Puempel, Frk, Hronek, Kuffner, Hirose

  10. P1 9:20Shot by Pettersson, saved by Howard
  11. P1 10:19Shot by Frk, saved by Murray
  12. P1 10:40Shot by Guentzel, saved by Howard
  13. P1 10:43Goal by Guentzel (Maatta, Crosby)+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Maatta, Guentzel, McCann · DET Witkowski, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Turgeon, Hicketts

  14. P1 12:12Shot by Letang, saved by Howard
  15. P1 12:13Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Howard
  16. P1 12:43Shot by Ehn, saved by Murray
  17. P1 13:23Shot by McCann, saved by Howard
  18. P1 14:01Shot by Schultz, saved by Howard
  19. P1 14:53Shot by Letang, saved by Howard
  20. P1 15:03Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  21. P1 15:33Shot by Ehn, saved by Murray
  22. P1 16:32Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Murray
  23. P1 16:38Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Murray
  24. P1 16:54Shot by Guentzel, saved by Howard
  25. P1 17:03Mantha: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Maatta, Guentzel, McCann · DET Kronwall, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek

  26. P1 17:07Shot by Letang, saved by Howard5v4
  27. P1 17:15Shot by Malkin, saved by Howard5v4
  28. P1 18:16Shot by Crosby, saved by Howard5v4
  29. P1 18:18Goal by Kessel (Crosby, Hornqvist)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · DET Helm, Bowey, Turgeon, Hicketts

  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:54Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard
  33. P2 1:34Shot by Hicketts, saved by Murray
  34. P2 4:49Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Murray
  35. P2 4:55Shot by Ehn, saved by Murray
  36. P2 5:34Shot by Hicketts, saved by Murray
  37. P2 5:56Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Murray
  38. P2 6:14Shot by Blueger, saved by Howard
  39. P2 6:34Shot by Letang, saved by Howard
  40. P2 6:49Shot by McCann, saved by Howard
  41. P2 6:57Shot by Helm, saved by Murray
  42. P2 7:07Shot by Hronek, saved by Murray
  43. P2 7:12Shot by Hirose, saved by Murray
  44. P2 7:39Shot by Maatta, saved by Howard
  45. P2 7:48Shot by Simon, saved by Howard
  46. P2 8:00Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Murray
  47. P2 9:10Shot by Malkin, saved by Howard
  48. P2 12:04Shot by Mantha, saved by Murray
  49. P2 13:21Shot by Letang, saved by Howard
  50. P2 13:25Shot by Guentzel, saved by Howard
  51. P2 13:45Shot by Crosby, saved by Howard
  52. P2 13:56Shot by McCann, saved by Howard
  53. P2 14:18Shot by Hirose, saved by Murray
  54. P2 14:49Shot by Chelios, saved by Murray
  55. P2 14:52Johnson: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Johnson, Hornqvist, Schultz, Bjugstad · DET McIlrath, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Chelios, Larkin

  56. P2 14:52Bertuzzi: High sticking double minor (4 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Johnson, Hornqvist, Schultz, Bjugstad · DET McIlrath, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Chelios, Larkin

  57. P2 15:29Shot by Maatta, saved by Howard
  58. P2 15:32Goal by Kessel (Malkin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Gudbranson, Rust, Pettersson · DET Helm, Athanasiou, Bowey, Hicketts, Hirose

  59. P2 15:48Shot by Bowey, saved by Murray
  60. P2 16:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard
  61. P2 16:45Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  62. P2 16:46Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  63. P2 16:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Howard
  64. P2 18:32Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Howard
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:22Shot by Larkin, saved by Murray
  68. P3 0:27Shot by Mantha, saved by Murray
  69. P3 0:42Shot by Kronwall, saved by Murray
  70. P3 0:51Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Murray
  71. P3 1:28Shot by Hicketts, saved by Murray
  72. P3 1:48Shot by Kessel, saved by Howard
  73. P3 2:07Shot by Simon, saved by Howard
  74. P3 3:17Larkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Maatta, Guentzel, McCann · DET Kronwall, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Ehn, Hronek

  75. P3 3:34Shot by Crosby, saved by Howard5v4
  76. P3 4:17Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard5v4
  77. P3 5:21Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  78. P3 6:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Howard
  79. P3 6:01Athanasiou: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Wilson, Gudbranson, Blueger, Pettersson · DET Kronwall, Puempel, Athanasiou, Hronek, Hirose

  80. P3 6:01Athanasiou: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Wilson, Gudbranson, Blueger, Pettersson · DET Kronwall, Puempel, Athanasiou, Hronek, Hirose

  81. P3 6:36Goal by Crosby (Kessel, Hornqvist)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · DET Kronwall, Helm, Bowey, Turgeon

  82. P3 8:19Shot by Hicketts, saved by Murray
  83. P3 8:47Shot by McCann, saved by Howard
  84. P3 9:05Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Howard
  85. P3 9:52Rust: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Rust, Maatta · DET Puempel, Frk, Bowey, Turgeon, Hicketts

  86. P3 9:59Shot by Larkin, saved by Murray4v5
  87. P3 10:26Shot by Mantha, saved by Murray4v5
  88. P3 10:42Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Murray4v5
  89. P3 13:02Shot by Guentzel, saved by Howard
  90. P3 14:04Shot by McIlrath, saved by Murray
  91. P3 15:09Shot by Hronek, saved by Murray
  92. P3 16:38Shot by Frk, saved by Murray
  93. P3 18:31Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Howard
  94. P3 19:29Shot by Frk, saved by Murray
  95. P3 19:56Shot by Puempel, saved by Murray
  96. P3 0:00Period end
  97. P3 0:00Final