Sat, Apr 6, 2019·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Montréal Canadiens 6 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 64% of the time.
29%
56%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:47 | 0.24 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 26:35 | 0.03 | 35.6% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:51 | 0.08 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.04 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 20:03 | 0.48 | 39.8% | +30.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.20 | 38.5% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 8 | 18:22 | 0.93 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 17:47 | 0.97 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.19 | 75.3% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.12 | 60.8% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.31 | 38.9% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:58 | 0.65 | 57.7% | +26.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.27 | 61.1% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 15:00 | 0.03 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:57 | 0.21 | 34.9% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 33.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 49 | 44 | 5 | .898 | 3.78 | −1.2 | 64:47 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:49 | 0.08 | 53.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.08 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 8 | 22:25 | 0.12 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.25 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:41 | 0.40 | 57.4% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.21 | 59.1% | +63.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 18:56 | 0.79 | 58.4% | +63.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.21 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.11 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.02 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.04 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.09 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.17 | 53.7% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.15 | 41.3% | +21.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.15 | 66.1% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:45 | 0.39 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 11:22 | 0.20 | 81.8% | +75.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 11:15 | 0.33 | 72.9% | +34.6 |
| W | 49 | 44 | 5 | .898 | 4.74 | −0.3 | 65:00 |