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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 6, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 7, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 82% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  3. P1 0:39Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 3:06Shot by Eichel, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:22Goal by Reinhart (Eichel)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, McIlrath, Athanasiou, Chelios, Hirose · BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin

  6. P1 4:58Shot by Montour, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:03Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Howard
  8. P1 5:08Shot by Wilson, saved by Howard
  9. P1 5:21Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Howard
  10. P1 5:22Shot by Olofsson, saved by Howard
  11. P1 5:48Shot by Hronek, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 6:07Shot by Mantha, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 7:29Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Howard
  14. P1 7:40Shot by Hicketts, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 9:50Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  16. P1 10:26Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  17. P1 10:30Chelios: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Witkowski, McIlrath, Puempel, Chelios, Turgeon · BUF Pominville, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson, Pilut

  18. P1 10:38Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark4v5
  19. P1 11:51Goal by Dahlin (Ristolainen, Eichel)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET McIlrath, Turgeon, Ehn, Hronek · BUF Ristolainen, Sheary, Eichel, Rodrigues, Dahlin

  20. P1 12:47Skinner: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Helm, Athanasiou, Larkin, Hronek, Hirose · BUF Okposo, Skinner, McCabe, Montour, Rodrigues

  21. P1 13:30Girgensons: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin · BUF Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Nelson

  22. P1 13:48Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark5v3
  23. P1 13:53Shot by Hronek, saved by Ullmark5v3
  24. P1 14:10Shot by Hronek, saved by Ullmark5v3
  25. P1 15:11Goal by Mantha (Athanasiou, Hronek)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · BUF Skinner, Wilson, McCabe, Montour

  26. P1 15:27Shot by Olofsson, saved by Howard
  27. P1 16:50Shot by Okposo, saved by Howard
  28. P1 17:52Shot by Hronek, saved by Ullmark
  29. P1 18:04Shot by Larsson, saved by Howard
  30. P1 18:12Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  31. P1 19:21Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  32. P1 19:59Shot by McCabe, saved by Howard
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:14Shot by McCabe, saved by Howard
  36. P2 1:04Shot by Skinner, saved by Howard
  37. P2 6:53Shot by Dahlin, saved by Howard
  38. P2 8:37Goal by Sheary (Nelson, Wilson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Witkowski, Puempel, Turgeon, Hronek · BUF Wilson, Sheary, Nelson, Mittelstadt, Pilut

  39. P2 9:14Shot by Montour, saved by Howard
  40. P2 9:26Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Howard
  41. P2 11:29Goal by Skinner, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Helm, Athanasiou, Hronek, Hirose · BUF Okposo, Skinner, McCabe, Montour, Rodrigues

  42. P2 12:26Shot by Chelios, saved by Ullmark
  43. P2 12:44Shot by Pominville, saved by Howard
  44. P2 12:47Goal by Girgensons (Pominville)+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Frk, Bowey, Ehn, Hicketts, Kuffner · BUF Pominville, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson, Pilut

  45. P2 15:51Shot by Wilson, saved by Fulcher
  46. P2 16:46Shot by McIlrath, saved by Ullmark
  47. P2 17:21Shot by Mantha, saved by Ullmark
  48. P2 18:02Shot by Kuffner, saved by Ullmark
  49. P2 18:18Ristolainen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Frk, Ehn, Hronek, Kuffner · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Rodrigues, Dahlin

  50. P2 18:41Shot by Mantha, saved by Ullmark5v4
  51. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  54. P3 3:01Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Fulcher
  55. P3 3:42Shot by Puempel, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 3:54Shot by Larsson, saved by Fulcher
  57. P3 4:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fulcher
  58. P3 5:18Shot by Skinner, saved by Fulcher
  59. P3 6:23Shot by Turgeon, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 6:48Shot by Girgensons, saved by Fulcher
  61. P3 9:22Shot by Montour, saved by Fulcher
  62. P3 10:15Shot by Skinner, saved by Fulcher
  63. P3 10:27Goal by Skinner (Dahlin)0 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bowey, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hicketts · BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  64. P3 10:45Puempel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Witkowski, Puempel, Turgeon, Hronek · BUF Pominville, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson, Pilut

  65. P3 11:39Goal by Montour (Ristolainen, Okposo)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, Bowey, Larkin, Hicketts · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Montour, Rodrigues

  66. P3 13:57Shot by Puempel, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 15:33Shot by Frk, saved by Ullmark
  68. P3 16:24Shot by Olofsson, saved by Fulcher
  69. P3 16:34Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  70. P3 16:40Shot by Chelios, saved by Ullmark
  71. P3 19:37Shot by Helm, saved by Ullmark
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final