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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 3, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by Sceviour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:54Sergachev: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Witkowski, Smith, Verhaeghe, Sergachev · FLA Yandle, Hoffman, Connolly, Trocheck, Brown

  4. P1 2:42Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bobrovsky4v5
  5. P1 3:49Shot by Vatrano, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  6. P1 4:17Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:27Shot by Witkowski, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 6:39Goal by Kucherov (Sergachev, Joseph)6v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Kucherov, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Joseph, Sergachev · FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano

  9. P1 6:56Shot by Weegar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 7:00Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 8:37Shot by Connolly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 10:10Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 10:22Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 10:54Shot by Sceviour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 11:39Shot by Hunt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 13:26Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 15:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 16:35Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Bobrovsky
  19. P1 17:10Shot by Witkowski, saved by Bobrovsky
  20. P1 17:45Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bobrovsky
  21. P1 18:21Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 19:51Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Bobrovsky
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:19Shot by Hunt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 1:45Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 1:55Shot by Gourde, saved by Bobrovsky
  28. P2 2:30Shot by Weegar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 2:35Goal by Hoffman (Trocheck, Connolly)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Hedman, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Joseph · FLA Stralman, Hoffman, Connolly, Trocheck, Weegar

  30. P2 3:20Shot by Malgin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 3:33Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 3:58Shot by Palat, saved by Bobrovsky
  33. P2 4:09Sergachev: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Palat, Cirelli, Sergachev · FLA Dadonov, Huberdeau, Matheson, Barkov, Ekblad

  34. P2 4:34Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  35. P2 6:07Shot by Hoffman, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  36. P2 6:38Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 6:52Shot by Weegar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 7:00Shot by Hunt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 7:21Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 8:21Shot by Palat, saved by Bobrovsky
  41. P2 8:27Huberdeau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli · FLA Stralman, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Weegar, Barkov

  42. P2 8:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  43. P2 9:36Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  44. P2 9:51Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  45. P2 10:28Goal by Shattenkirk (Sergachev, Killorn)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Palat, Verhaeghe, Sergachev · FLA Huberdeau, Weegar, Ekblad, Vatrano, Borgstrom

  46. P2 10:40Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 13:11Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 13:29Shot by Malgin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 14:46Shot by Palat, saved by Bobrovsky
  50. P2 17:05Shot by Coburn, saved by Bobrovsky
  51. P2 19:01Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:50Shot by Johnson, saved by Bobrovsky
  55. P3 1:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bobrovsky
  56. P3 1:35Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Bobrovsky
  57. P3 2:56Shot by Joseph, saved by Bobrovsky
  58. P3 3:31Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 4:52Shot by Borgstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 5:55Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 5:56Hedman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Brown, Barkov

  62. P3 6:43Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  63. P3 6:52Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  64. P3 7:23Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  65. P3 7:42Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  66. P3 8:06Vatrano: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Hedman, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev · FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Ekblad, Vatrano, Borgstrom

  67. P3 8:49Goal by Trocheck (Ekblad)5v4+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov · FLA Trocheck, Matheson, Barkov, Ekblad

  68. P3 9:33Shot by Killorn, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  69. P3 9:34Goal by Palat (Killorn, Sergachev)5v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Palat, Verhaeghe, Sergachev · FLA Sceviour, Matheson, Ekblad, Acciari

  70. P3 10:19Shot by Palat, saved by Bobrovsky
  71. P3 11:00Shot by Connolly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 11:03Smith: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Witkowski, Hedman, Smith · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov

  73. P3 11:49Hoffman: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov

  74. P3 12:37Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Bobrovsky4v4
  75. P3 13:31Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  76. P3 13:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  77. P3 13:51Goal by Maroon (Hedman, Kucherov)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov · FLA Sceviour, Hoffman, Matheson, Ekblad, Acciari

  78. P3 14:43Shot by Gourde, saved by Bobrovsky
  79. P3 19:14Goal by Cernak (Cirelli)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Palat, Cernak, Cirelli · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Barkov

  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final