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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 5, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Minnesota Wild 2, Colorado Avalanche 4

Away

Minnesota Wild

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 64% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Grubauer
  3. P1 1:14Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 2:33Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 3:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 3:24Shot by Foligno, saved by Grubauer
  7. P1 3:52Shot by Donskoi, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 4:07Shot by Donskoi, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 4:07Zuccarello: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Graves, Jost, Timmins · MIN Staal, Suter, Zuccarello, Dumba, Donato

  10. P1 4:30Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon, Makar)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar · MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Brodin, Kunin

  11. P1 4:54Shot by Nieto, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 5:56Shot by Calvert, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 5:57Goal by Bellemare (Calvert, Nichushkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Calvert, Graves, Nichushkin, Bellemare, Timmins · MIN Koivu, Suter, Zucker, Dumba, Fiala

  14. P1 7:15Shot by Girard, saved by Dubnyk
  15. P1 8:47Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 8:56Shot by Parise, saved by Grubauer
  17. P1 10:14Shot by Fiala, saved by Grubauer
  18. P1 10:17Goal by Suter, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Kadri, Donskoi, Jost, Girard · MIN Koivu, Suter, Zucker, Dumba, Fiala

  19. P1 10:39Shot by Compher, saved by Dubnyk
  20. P1 10:53Shot by Donato, saved by Grubauer
  21. P1 10:59Shot by Donato, saved by Grubauer
  22. P1 11:02Shot by Kunin, saved by Grubauer
  23. P1 14:07Shot by Donato, saved by Grubauer
  24. P1 14:24Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
  25. P1 16:01Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Dubnyk
  26. P1 16:02Jost: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nieto, Burakovsky, Compher, Zadorov, Makar · MIN Suter, Foligno, Dumba, Hartman, Eriksson Ek

  27. P1 16:21Shot by Staal, saved by Grubauer4v5
  28. P1 18:05Shot by Koivu, saved by Grubauer
  29. P1 19:09Jost: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Zadorov, Jost, Makar · MIN Suter, Parise, Dumba, Greenway, Kunin

  30. P1 19:50Shot by Calvert, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  31. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 0:36Shot by Calvert, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  34. P2 2:10Kunin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Girard, Makar · MIN Suter, Parise, Dumba, Greenway, Kunin

  35. P2 4:06Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  36. P2 5:17Dumba: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Calvert, Zadorov, Bellemare, Jost · MIN Staal, Suter, Zuccarello, Dumba, Donato

  37. P2 6:54Burakovsky: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Donskoi, Burakovsky, Compher, Nichushkin, Girard · MIN Suter, Foligno, Soucy, Eriksson Ek

  38. P2 8:31Goal by Parise (Dumba, Suter)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Compher, Nichushkin, Zadorov · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Dumba, Fiala

  39. P2 9:01Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Grubauer
  40. P2 11:03Shot by Zadorov, saved by Dubnyk
  41. P2 11:16Shot by Brodin, saved by Grubauer
  42. P2 11:29Shot by Hartman, saved by Grubauer
  43. P2 11:40Shot by Jost, saved by Dubnyk
  44. P2 11:54Shot by Hartman, saved by Grubauer
  45. P2 12:21Shot by Dumba, saved by Grubauer5v6
  46. P2 12:21Graves: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Graves, Jost, Timmins · MIN Koivu, Suter, Zucker, Dumba, Fiala, Eriksson Ek

  47. P2 12:42Shot by Suter, saved by Grubauer4v5
  48. P2 13:32Shot by Hunt, saved by Grubauer4v5
  49. P2 15:08Shot by Girard, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P2 15:18Koivu: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Makar · MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Brodin, Greenway, Kunin

  51. P2 15:35Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  52. P2 16:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  53. P2 17:19Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Dubnyk
  54. P2 18:54Goal by Landeskog (Rantanen, MacKinnon)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Landeskog, Graves, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Timmins · MIN Staal, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Donato

  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:25Shot by Greenway, saved by Grubauer
  58. P3 1:26Shot by Kunin, saved by Grubauer
  59. P3 1:39Shot by Jost, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 4:22Kunin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Donskoi, Graves, Jost, Girard · MIN Parise, Hunt, Soucy, Greenway, Kunin

  61. P3 4:57Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  62. P3 8:38Shot by Girard, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 10:00Shot by Greenway, saved by Grubauer
  64. P3 10:55Shot by Fiala, saved by Grubauer
  65. P3 11:56Shot by Foligno, saved by Grubauer
  66. P3 12:10Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Dubnyk
  67. P3 12:10Brodin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Landeskog, Burakovsky, MacKinnon, Girard · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Brodin, Hartman, Eriksson Ek

  68. P3 13:11Shot by Kadri, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  69. P3 13:56Shot by Hartman, saved by Grubauer5v4
  70. P3 15:19Shot by Koivu, saved by Grubauer
  71. P3 16:36Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Grubauer
  72. P3 16:45Shot by Dumba, saved by Grubauer
  73. P3 16:53Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Dubnyk
  74. P3 18:07Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Grubauer5v6
  75. P3 18:56Shot by Dumba, saved by Grubauer5v6
  76. P3 19:17Shot by Fiala, saved by Grubauer5v6
  77. P3 19:20Goal by Graves, unassisted5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Calvert, Kadri, Graves, Compher, Zadorov · MIN Staal, Spurgeon, Zucker, Hunt, Fiala, Kunin

  78. P3 19:59Shot by Nieto, saved by Dubnyk
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final