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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2019·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Pittsburgh Penguins 7, Minnesota Wild 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 51% of the time.

MIN winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by Koivu, saved by Murray
  3. P1 2:49Shot by Hartman, saved by Murray
  4. P1 3:01Shot by Suter, saved by Murray
  5. P1 3:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 4:51Shot by Tanev, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 6:55Hartman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Rask, Brodin, Hartman · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Lafferty, Johnson

  8. P1 6:55Lafferty: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Rask, Brodin, Hartman · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Lafferty, Johnson

  9. P1 7:16Shot by Guentzel, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  10. P1 9:57Shot by Pettersson, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 10:14Shot by Pettersson, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 10:57Shot by Brodin, saved by Murray
  13. P1 11:42Shot by Dumba, saved by Murray
  14. P1 11:46Shot by Koivu, saved by Murray
  15. P1 13:02Shot by Brodin, saved by Murray
  16. P1 13:08Shot by Simon, saved by Dubnyk
  17. P1 14:26Suter: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Suter, Foligno, Rask, Dumba, Hartman · PIT Johnson, Blueger, Marino, Tanev, Aston-Reese

  18. P1 14:54Goal by Hornqvist (Schultz, Crosby)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Brodin, Kunin · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Schultz, Guentzel

  19. P1 15:44Shot by Dumba, saved by Murray
  20. P1 16:04Shot by Soucy, saved by Murray
  21. P1 16:39Shot by Kunin, saved by Murray
  22. P1 16:42Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Murray
  23. P1 17:48Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P1 18:34Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Dubnyk
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:34Shot by Guentzel, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P2 2:03Shot by Suter, saved by Murray
  29. P2 2:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P2 3:11Shot by Crosby, saved by Dubnyk
  31. P2 3:26Goal by Crosby (Letang, Murray)5v6+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Parise, Spurgeon, Brodin, Eriksson Ek, Kunin · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon

  32. P2 3:40Johnson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Suter, Foligno, Rask, Dumba, Hartman · PIT Johnson, Blandisi, Lafferty, Marino, Johnson

  33. P2 3:54Goal by Zucker (Hunt, Spurgeon)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Zucker, Hunt, Fiala · PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Lafferty, Aston-Reese

  34. P2 4:27Shot by Foligno, saved by Murray
  35. P2 4:54Shot by Letang, saved by Dubnyk
  36. P2 7:10Shot by Koivu, saved by Murray
  37. P2 8:21Greenway: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Dumba, Fiala, Greenway · PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, Marino, Tanev, Aston-Reese

  38. P2 8:54Shot by Letang, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  39. P2 8:56Hornqvist: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Dumba, Kunin · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Schultz, Guentzel

  40. P2 8:56Dubnyk: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Dumba, Kunin · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Schultz, Guentzel

  41. P2 8:56Hornqvist: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Dumba, Kunin · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Schultz, Guentzel

  42. P2 9:37Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Murray4v4
  43. P2 10:07Shot by Letang, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  44. P2 11:08Shot by Lafferty, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P2 11:11Goal by Johnson (Lafferty, Aston-Reese)+17 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Suter, Foligno, Rask, Dumba, Hartman · PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Lafferty, Aston-Reese, Johnson

  46. P2 12:13Shot by Greenway, saved by Murray
  47. P2 12:25Shot by Crosby, saved by Dubnyk
  48. P2 12:42Shot by Guentzel, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P2 12:54Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P2 12:58Goal by Letang (Dumoulin, Tanev)+8 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Dumba, Fiala · PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, Tanev, Aston-Reese

  51. P2 13:39Goal by Blandisi (Johnson, Lafferty)+3 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Hunt, Soucy, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin · PIT Schultz, Blandisi, Pettersson, Lafferty, Johnson

  52. P2 14:46Shot by Suter, saved by Murray
  53. P2 16:16Shot by Hunt, saved by Murray
  54. P2 16:46Goal by Spurgeon (Foligno, Rask)+3 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Rask, Brodin, Hartman · PIT Crosby, Schultz, Guentzel, Pettersson, Simon

  55. P2 17:20Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Murray
  56. P2 18:18Shot by Foligno, saved by Murray
  57. P2 19:08Shot by Guentzel, saved by Stalock
  58. P2 19:31Shot by Guentzel, saved by Stalock
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 2:33Shot by Lafferty, saved by Stalock
  62. P3 3:51Shot by Dumba, saved by Murray
  63. P3 5:51Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Murray
  64. P3 5:55Zucker: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Brodin, Hartman, Eriksson Ek · PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon

  65. P3 7:18Shot by Greenway, saved by Murray4v5
  66. P3 9:32Shot by Guentzel, saved by Stalock
  67. P3 10:11Shot by Rask, saved by Murray
  68. P3 10:16Hartman: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Spurgeon, Foligno, Brodin, Hartman · PIT Hornqvist, Schultz, Guentzel, McCann, Pettersson

  69. P3 10:48Goal by Guentzel (Hornqvist)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Spurgeon, Brodin, Kunin · PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Schultz, Guentzel

  70. P3 12:52Shot by Pettersson, saved by Stalock
  71. P3 14:41Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Stalock
  72. P3 15:06Shot by Kahun, saved by Stalock
  73. P3 15:23Goal by Hunt (Fiala, Staal)0 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Parise, Hunt, Soucy, Fiala · PIT Schultz, Blueger, Pettersson, Tanev, Kahun

  74. P3 15:44Goal by Kunin (Spurgeon, Brodin)+1 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Brodin, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin · PIT Crosby, Johnson, Guentzel, Marino, Simon

  75. P3 16:22Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Murray
  76. P3 16:30Shot by Zucker, saved by Murray
  77. P3 17:42Shot by Zucker, saved by Murray6v5
  78. P3 18:26Shot by Koivu, saved by Murray6v5
  79. P3 18:44Shot by Hunt, saved by Murray6v5
  80. P3 18:49Goal by Lafferty, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Zuccarello, Dumba, Kunin · PIT Hornqvist, Dumoulin, McCann, Lafferty, Marino

  81. P3 18:54Shot by Johnson, saved by Stalock
  82. P3 19:02Shot by Blandisi, saved by Stalock
  83. P3 19:58Shot by Blueger, saved by Stalock
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final