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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 15, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Minnesota Wild 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Minnesota Wild

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 0:35Suter: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Kapanen · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Foligno, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  4. P1 1:54Shot by Kapanen, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  5. P1 3:41Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 4:33Shot by Mayhew, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 5:30Goal by Kunin (Suter, Spurgeon)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Gauthier, Timashov, Matthews · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Foligno, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  8. P1 11:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 12:51Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 13:59Shot by Zucker, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 15:39Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 16:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 16:29Shot by Nylander, saved by Dubnyk
  14. P1 17:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  15. P1 17:44Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 18:27Rielly: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Marner, Moore · MIN Koivu, Parise, Zucker, Brodin, Dumba

  17. P1 19:06Shot by Dumba, saved by Andersen4v5
  18. P1 19:13Shot by Donato, saved by Andersen4v5
  19. P1 19:33Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen4v5
  20. P1 19:38Shot by Hunt, saved by Andersen4v5
  21. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:58Goal by Tavares (Ceci, Rielly)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Marner, Moore · MIN Staal, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Donato

  24. P2 3:41Shot by Moore, saved by Dubnyk
  25. P2 3:52Shot by Johnsson, saved by Dubnyk
  26. P2 3:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  27. P2 4:05Shot by Ceci, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P2 4:29Shot by Parise, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 4:37Shot by Ceci, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P2 4:54Shot by Dumba, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 5:11Shot by Marincin, saved by Dubnyk
  32. P2 5:35Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Dubnyk
  33. P2 5:50Shot by Hartman, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 6:29Spurgeon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Marner, Moore · MIN Rask, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Greenway

  35. P2 7:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  36. P2 7:17Goal by Marner (Johnsson, Rielly)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews · MIN Koivu, Suter, Brodin, Kunin

  37. P2 8:03Shot by Kapanen, saved by Dubnyk
  38. P2 8:19Hartman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Mikheyev · MIN Rask, Hunt, Soucy, Hartman, Donato

  39. P2 8:26Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  40. P2 8:29Goal by Johnsson (Marner, Rielly)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Kunin

  41. P2 9:19Shot by Donato, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 9:47Shot by Nylander, saved by Dubnyk
  43. P2 10:43Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Dubnyk
  44. P2 11:14Shot by Parise, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 12:17Shot by Moore, saved by Dubnyk
  46. P2 12:35Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 13:05Goal by Matthews (Marner, Rielly)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Marner, Matthews · MIN Suter, Foligno, Dumba, Hartman, Eriksson Ek

  48. P2 13:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P2 14:24Shot by Koivu, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 16:22Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 18:00Shot by Parise, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 18:08Shot by Timashov, saved by Dubnyk
  53. P2 19:11Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P3 3:58Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 4:58Shot by Parise, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 6:59Shot by Nylander, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 7:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 7:24Shot by Johnsson, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 7:55Kerfoot: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Ceci, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Mikheyev · MIN Koivu, Parise, Zucker, Brodin, Dumba

  63. P3 8:15Shot by Donato, saved by Andersen4v5
  64. P3 8:57Shot by Donato, saved by Andersen4v5
  65. P3 10:14Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 11:00Shot by Kunin, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 15:26Kerfoot: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Mikheyev · MIN Staal, Parise, Hunt, Soucy, Hartman, Donato

  68. P3 16:14Shot by Donato, saved by Andersen4v5
  69. P3 16:39Shot by Suter, saved by Andersen4v5
  70. P3 17:04Shot by Hunt, saved by Andersen4v5
  71. P3 17:49Shot by Holl, saved by Dubnyk
  72. P3 17:53Shot by Holl, saved by Dubnyk
  73. P3 18:52Shot by Dumba, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 18:58Goal by Mayhew (Greenway, Donato)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Shore, Gauthier, Timashov · MIN Hunt, Soucy, Donato, Greenway, Mayhew

  75. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  76. P3 0:00Final