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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 15, 2019·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Nashville Predators 5, Vegas Golden Knights 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 62% of the time.

VGK winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jarnkrok–Johansen–ArvidssonBonino–Smith–SissonsTurris–Watson–GrimaldiDuchene–Granlund–ForsbergJarnkrok–Watson–SissonsBonino–Smith–GrimaldiEkholm–FabbroJosi–EllisHamhuis–WeberWeber–JosiEllis–EkholmHamhuis–FabbroJosi–FabbroWeber–EkholmHamhuis–Ellis
Smith–Karlsson–Marchessault6:300.22–0.121:560.01–0.010:350.00–0.010:330.08–0.003:180.06–0.044:590.24–0.050:510.17–0.000:400.00–0.00
Eakin–Zykov–Glass1:350.00–0.001:500.26–0.022:210.13–0.000:590.16–0.000:380.00–0.003:100.06–0.001:220.16–0.052:270.33–0.080:380.00–0.00
Stastny–Pacioretty–Stone0:390.00–0.002:100.00–0.003:340.13–0.042:490.09–0.023:440.11–0.041:150.01–0.08
Reaves–Carrier–Nosek1:200.00–0.022:560.00–0.411:000.00–0.112:170.00–0.022:190.06–0.191:130.02–0.020:320.00–0.31
Pacioretty–Marchessault–Glass0:570.00–0.010:510.39–0.090:420.00–0.01
Eakin–Carrier–Glass0:330.00–0.010:300.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Holden–Merrill6:570.09–0.140:430.00–0.021:390.00–0.011:530.02–0.000:300.00–0.004:330.07–0.053:100.02–0.061:100.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:510.11–0.001:250.01–0.081:010.00–0.00
Engelland–Hague5:480.26–0.322:490.17–0.151:200.00–0.014:480.14–0.032:260.00–0.022:100.39–0.110:320.00–0.310:380.00–0.001:010.00–0.01
McNabb–Theodore1:570.07–0.001:440.14–0.094:220.46–0.212:180.21–0.015:410.38–0.132:010.53–0.37
Theodore–Hague0:400.00–0.100:450.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:400.00–0.100:340.00–0.00
McNabb–Hague1:020.00–0.020:480.00–0.02
Merrill–Theodore0:400.09–0.000:330.08–0.001:060.17–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FStastny FStone FPacioretty FEakin FZykov FGlass FCarrier FReaves FNosek FMerrill DHolden DMcNabb DTheodore DEngelland DHague DFleury GJarnkrok FArvidsson FJohansen FForsberg FGranlund FDuchene FSissons FBonino FSmith FTurris FGrimaldi FWatson FEllis DJosi DEkholm DFabbro DHamhuis DWeber DRinne G
VGKNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mattias EkholmNSH3024:090:481:5446
Roman JosiNSH3124:070:471:41510
Ryan EllisNSH3422:450:401:4189
Shea TheodoreVGK2521:200:512:0584
Reilly SmithVGK2619:380:451:2574
William KarlssonVGK2519:250:471:1963
Deryk EngellandVGK2519:100:461:2189
Dante FabbroNSH2719:050:421:1526
Jon MerrillVGK2418:530:471:3424
Nick HoldenVGK2818:530:401:3216
Ryan JohansenNSH2618:520:441:2171
Nicolas HagueVGK2418:100:451:31103
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2618:050:421:2162
Brayden McNabbVGK2017:500:541:5124
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2217:230:471:2861
Calle JarnkrokNSH2717:050:381:1273
Mark StoneVGK2116:450:481:3637
Paul StastnyVGK2116:140:461:3636
Cody GlassVGK1916:050:511:4641
Matt DucheneNSH2115:360:451:2141
Max PaciorettyVGK1915:320:491:3644
Cody EakinVGK1915:070:481:2624
Kyle TurrisNSH1914:520:471:2362
Austin WatsonNSH2114:320:421:1654
Mikael GranlundNSH2214:230:391:0761
Colton SissonsNSH2314:140:371:29311
Craig SmithNSH2114:130:411:1547
Nick BoninoNSH2314:120:371:15410
Valentin ZykovVGK1913:170:421:1841
Rocco GrimaldiNSH1712:510:451:2332
Filip ForsbergNSH1912:400:401:2151
Dan HamhuisNSH2012:140:371:1410
Yannick WeberNSH1811:000:371:1311
Tomas NosekVGK159:420:391:0143
William CarrierVGK149:300:411:1831
Ryan ReavesVGK138:540:411:1842