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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 21, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:24Shot by Barrie, saved by Korpisalo
  3. P1 2:15Jenner: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Rielly, Ceci, Kapanen, Moore · CBJ Savard, Jenner, Anderson, Gavrikov, Texier

  4. P1 2:31Goal by Nash (Foligno)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · CBJ Foligno, Nash, Jones, Werenski

  5. P1 3:28Shot by Spezza, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  6. P1 3:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  7. P1 5:52Goal by Dubois (Foligno, Atkinson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews · CBJ Foligno, Atkinson, Jones, Werenski, Dubois

  8. P1 6:47Shot by Nylander, saved by Korpisalo
  9. P1 7:12Shot by Ceci, saved by Korpisalo
  10. P1 7:37Shot by Holl, saved by Korpisalo
  11. P1 8:33Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 10:52Johnsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · CBJ Anderson, Jones, Werenski, Dubois, Texier

  13. P1 11:06Shot by Werenski, saved by Andersen4v5
  14. P1 11:25Goal by Kapanen (Marner, Muzzin)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Kapanen, Marner · CBJ Nyquist, Atkinson, Wennberg, Werenski, Dubois

  15. P1 12:18Shot by Jones, saved by Andersen4v5
  16. P1 12:27Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  17. P1 13:25Shot by Savard, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 15:08Murray: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Barrie, Kapanen, Moore · CBJ Murray, Wennberg, Milano, Nutivaara, Bemstrom

  19. P1 15:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  20. P1 15:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  21. P1 15:54Shot by Marner, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  22. P1 16:33Shot by Johnsson, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  23. P1 17:35Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 19:21Goal by Matthews (Johnsson, Muzzin)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · CBJ Nyquist, Murray, Milano, Nutivaara, Dubois

  25. P1 19:42Kerfoot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Kerfoot, Marner, Mikheyev · CBJ Foligno, Bjorkstrand, Jones, Wennberg, Werenski

  26. P1 19:57Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Andersen4v5
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Andersen4v5
  28. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:51Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen4v5
  31. P2 2:00Shot by Murray, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 2:03Shot by Murray, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 2:24Marner: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, Moore · CBJ Foligno, Nyquist, Murray, Anderson, Jones

  34. P2 2:33Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen4v5
  35. P2 4:15Shot by Werenski, saved by Andersen4v5
  36. P2 4:58Shot by Barrie, saved by Korpisalo
  37. P2 8:06Shot by Marincin, saved by Korpisalo
  38. P2 8:10Shot by Timashov, saved by Korpisalo
  39. P2 8:15Shot by Moore, saved by Korpisalo
  40. P2 8:33Shot by Muzzin, saved by Korpisalo
  41. P2 9:39Shot by Dubois, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 9:45Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 12:03Spezza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Marincin, Holl, Kapanen, Moore · CBJ Foligno, Nash, Atkinson, Jones, Werenski

  44. P2 13:01Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  45. P2 14:09Shot by Spezza, saved by Korpisalo
  46. P2 14:18Shot by Dubois, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 14:24Shot by Dubois, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 14:54Shot by Murray, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 15:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Korpisalo
  50. P2 16:31Shot by Texier, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 16:56Shot by Moore, saved by Korpisalo
  52. P2 17:29Shot by Nash, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 17:45Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 18:25Shot by Barrie, saved by Korpisalo
  55. P2 19:18Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 19:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Korpisalo
  57. P2 19:43Goal by Nylander (Johnsson, Matthews)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · CBJ Jenner, Anderson, Jones, Werenski, Dubois

  58. P2 19:50Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:18Shot by Barrie, saved by Korpisalo
  62. P3 2:59Shot by Muzzin, saved by Korpisalo
  63. P3 4:18Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 6:20Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 8:52Gauthier: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Shore, Rielly, Ceci, Gauthier, Timashov · CBJ Savard, Jenner, Bjorkstrand, Milano, Gavrikov

  66. P3 10:08Shot by Werenski, saved by Andersen4v5
  67. P3 10:09Goal by Wennberg (Werenski, Jones)4v5+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Kapanen, Moore · CBJ Nyquist, Jones, Wennberg, Werenski, Dubois

  68. P3 10:52Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Korpisalo
  69. P3 12:32Shot by Jones, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 12:58Shot by Jenner, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 13:04Shot by Jenner, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 14:11Shot by Johnsson, saved by Korpisalo
  73. P3 14:42Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 15:01Shot by Bemstrom, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 16:23Shot by Atkinson, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 18:35Shot by Marner, saved by Korpisalo
  77. P3 18:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Korpisalo
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. OT 0:00Period start
  80. OT 0:19Shot by Dubois, saved by Andersen3v3
  81. OT 1:53Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen3v3
  82. OT 1:55Shot by Wennberg, saved by Andersen3v3
  83. OT 1:57Marner: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)3v3

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews · CBJ Nyquist, Wennberg, Werenski

  84. OT 1:57Goal by Nyquist, unassistedother+45 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews · CBJ Nyquist, Wennberg, Werenski

  85. OT 1:57Period end
  86. OT 1:57Final