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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 23, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Detroit Red Wings 2, Ottawa Senators 5

Away

Detroit Red Wings

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.

OTT winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:09Shot by Paul, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:12Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 1:41Shot by Larkin, saved by Nilsson
  5. P1 1:50Shot by Green, saved by Nilsson
  6. P1 2:36Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Nilsson
  7. P1 3:17Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 3:23Shot by Hronek, saved by Nilsson
  9. P1 3:33Shot by Helm, saved by Nilsson
  10. P1 5:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 5:59Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 6:16Goal by Tierney (Ryan, Chabot)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Namestnikov, Tierney, Chabot, Zaitsev · DET Filppula, Green, Nemeth, Glendening, Svechnikov

  13. P1 6:58Shot by Pageau, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 9:03Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Nilsson
  15. P1 9:17Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 9:18Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 9:36Shot by Chabot, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 9:53Green: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Duclair, Chabot, Brown, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · DET Nielsen, Green, Nemeth, Svechnikov, Hirose

  19. P1 10:13Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Nilsson5v4
  20. P1 10:14Shot by Glendening, saved by Nilsson5v4
  21. P1 12:53Shot by Mantha, saved by Nilsson
  22. P1 13:28Shot by Beaudin, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 14:48Ryan: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Namestnikov, Tierney, Chabot, Zaitsev · DET Daley, Nielsen, Helm, Bowey, Larkin, Hirose

  24. P1 15:43Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier4v5
  25. P1 16:17Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Bernier4v5
  26. P1 17:39Shot by Nielsen, saved by Nilsson
  27. P1 18:10Zaitsev: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Namestnikov, Tierney, Chabot, Zaitsev · DET Green, Abdelkader, Nemeth, Glendening, de la Rose

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:14Shot by Pageau, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 0:19Shot by Paul, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 0:45Goal by Helm (Abdelkader, de la Rose)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Duclair, Chabot, Brown, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · DET Daley, Abdelkader, Helm, de la Rose, Bowey

  33. P2 1:46Shot by Hirose, saved by Nilsson
  34. P2 1:54Shot by Nemeth, saved by Nilsson
  35. P2 2:13Shot by Nielsen, saved by Nilsson
  36. P2 2:23Shot by Nemeth, saved by Nilsson
  37. P2 2:25Goal by Bertuzzi (Nemeth, Hronek)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Borowiecki, Sabourin, Beaudin, Brannstrom · DET Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek

  38. P2 2:42Shot by Cholowski, saved by Nilsson
  39. P2 3:15Goal by Borowiecki (Paul, Brown)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Pageau, Brown, Paul, Chabot · DET Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski, Hronek

  40. P2 4:43Hainsey: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hainsey, Ryan, Namestnikov, Tierney, Brannstrom · DET Filppula, Green, Nemeth, Glendening, Athanasiou

  41. P2 5:27Goal by Pageau, unassisted4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, DeMelo, Pageau, Namestnikov · DET Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski

  42. P2 8:15Shot by Duclair, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 8:17Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 8:31Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Nilsson
  45. P2 10:57Shot by Paul, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 11:41Shot by Larkin, saved by Nilsson
  47. P2 11:44Hirose: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Duclair, Chabot, Brown, Zaitsev, Tkachuk · DET Nemeth, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin

  48. P2 13:43Shot by DeMelo, saved by Bernier5v4
  49. P2 14:42Paul: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, DeMelo, Pageau, Brown, Paul · DET Daley, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin

  50. P2 16:39Shot by Hronek, saved by Nilsson4v5
  51. P2 17:09Goal by Duclair (Chabot, Tierney)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DeMelo, Tierney, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk · DET Daley, de la Rose, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Mantha

  52. P2 17:42Shot by Chabot, saved by Bernier
  53. P2 18:39Shot by Chabot, saved by Bernier
  54. P2 18:46Shot by Chabot, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 18:52Duclair: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Borowiecki, DeMelo, Duclair, Beaudin · DET Filppula, Daley, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Hronek

  56. P2 19:27Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Nilsson4v5
  57. P2 19:29Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Nilsson4v5
  58. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:53Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Nilsson4v5
  61. P3 1:20Shot by DeMelo, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 1:31Shot by de la Rose, saved by Nilsson
  63. P3 4:57Shot by Brown, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 5:09Shot by Duclair, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 5:15Shot by Nielsen, saved by Nilsson
  66. P3 5:39Shot by Tierney, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 6:57Shot by Duclair, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 7:58Shot by Filppula, saved by Nilsson
  69. P3 7:59Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Nilsson
  70. P3 8:38Shot by DeMelo, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 8:46Shot by Paul, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 9:16Shot by Green, saved by Nilsson
  73. P3 10:33Shot by Duclair, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 10:35Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 11:45Shot by Ryan, saved by Bernier
  76. P3 13:21Shot by Hirose, saved by Nilsson
  77. P3 13:28Shot by Nemeth, saved by Nilsson
  78. P3 14:29Shot by Mantha, saved by Nilsson
  79. P3 15:44Shot by Bowey, saved by Nilsson
  80. P3 17:03Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bernier
  81. P3 17:09Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Bernier
  82. P3 17:28Shot by Larkin, saved by Nilsson5v6
  83. P3 17:39Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Nilsson5v6
  84. P3 17:52Shot by Hronek, saved by Nilsson5v6
  85. P3 18:12Goal by Duclair (Namestnikov)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DeMelo, Namestnikov, Tierney, Duclair, Zaitsev · DET Nielsen, Athanasiou, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski, Hronek

  86. P3 19:21Shot by Sabourin, saved by Bernier
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final