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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 24, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 2, New York Rangers 6

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

New York Rangers

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 63% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:54Sheary: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Buchnevich, Panarin · BUF Larsson, Girgensons, Sheary, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  3. P1 2:02Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutton5v4
  4. P1 4:49Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 5:48Shot by McKegg, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 5:59Shot by Sobotka, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 7:49Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 8:00Shot by Eichel, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 8:38Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 11:23Shot by Scandella, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 11:41Goal by Panarin, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Trouba, Buchnevich, Panarin, Hajek · BUF Skinner, Miller, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  12. P1 12:16Shot by Sobotka, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 12:46Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Hutton
  14. P1 14:32Goal by Howden (Fast, Lemieux)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fast, Trouba, Lemieux, Hajek, Howden · BUF Sobotka, Johansson, Skinner, Miller, Dahlin

  15. P1 15:33Kreider: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Trouba, Hajek, Howden · BUF Johansson, Vesey, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  16. P1 16:23Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  17. P1 17:02Shot by Skjei, saved by Hutton4v5
  18. P1 18:08Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutton
  19. P1 18:55Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutton
  20. P1 19:22Goal by Strome (Skjei, DeAngelo)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Skjei, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin · BUF Vesey, McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, Mittelstadt

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:01Shot by Reinhart, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P2 1:50Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P2 1:56Shot by Sobotka, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 2:34Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 3:53Shot by Vesey, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 4:16Shot by Eichel, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P2 4:17Goal by Scandella, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Hajek, Kakko · BUF Scandella, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju

  30. P2 4:54Shot by Eichel, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 5:54Shot by Howden, saved by Hutton
  32. P2 6:39Shot by Fast, saved by Hutton
  33. P2 8:24Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 11:11Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 13:20Goal by DeAngelo (Buchnevich, Skjei)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Skjei, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin, Howden · BUF Sobotka, Johansson, Skinner, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  36. P2 14:31Shot by Okposo, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 14:42Andersson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Smith, McKegg, Fox, Andersson · BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Dahlin

  38. P2 16:20Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  39. P2 16:52Shot by Trouba, saved by Hutton
  40. P2 17:10Shot by Okposo, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 18:08Shot by McCabe, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 19:11Goal by Sobotka (Okposo, Johansson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Skjei, Trouba, Kakko · BUF Sobotka, Okposo, Johansson, Ristolainen, Dahlin

  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:06Skinner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Strome, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin · BUF Sobotka, Johansson, Skinner, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  46. P3 2:00Shot by McCabe, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  47. P3 2:55Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  48. P3 3:24Shot by Trouba, saved by Hutton
  49. P3 4:59Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P3 5:00Skinner: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Skjei, Trouba, Kakko · BUF Skinner, McCabe, Sheary, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju

  51. P3 5:00Skinner: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Skjei, Trouba, Kakko · BUF Skinner, McCabe, Sheary, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju

  52. P3 5:19Shot by Trouba, saved by Hutton5v4
  53. P3 6:08Kreider: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Skjei, DeAngelo, Panarin, Howden · BUF Sobotka, Johansson, Ristolainen, Eichel, Jokiharju

  54. P3 6:19Shot by Skjei, saved by Hutton4v4
  55. P3 7:15Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  56. P3 7:34Shot by Eichel, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  57. P3 7:57Goal by Strome (Howden)4v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Trouba, Hajek, Howden · BUF Reinhart, Eichel, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  58. P3 12:24Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Hutton
  59. P3 14:30Shot by Skjei, saved by Hutton
  60. P3 14:58Shot by Panarin, saved by Hutton
  61. P3 15:51Shot by Sheary, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 15:51DeAngelo: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Strome, Skjei, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin · BUF Ristolainen, Sheary, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  63. P3 16:14Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  64. P3 16:51Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  65. P3 17:34Shot by Sheary, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  66. P3 17:40Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  67. P3 18:26Shot by Trouba, saved by Hutton
  68. P3 18:44Goal by Kreider (Fox)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Lemieux, Panarin, Fox · BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Jokiharju

  69. P3 18:59Shot by Kreider, saved by Hutton
  70. P3 19:45Shot by Sheary, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final