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Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 25, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

San Jose Sharks 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 89% of the time.

TOR winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Couture: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Couture, Karlsson

  3. P1 1:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Jones5v4
  4. P1 3:23Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Jones
  5. P1 4:13Shot by Johnsson, saved by Jones
  6. P1 4:34Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jones
  7. P1 5:43Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 6:27Shot by Vlasic, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 7:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Jones
  10. P1 10:02Shot by Dillon, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 10:35Goal by Labanc (Burns, Hertl)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · SJS Burns, Vlasic, Kane, Hertl, Labanc

  12. P1 10:55Ceci: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Ceci, Kerfoot, Marner, Mikheyev · SJS Burns, Vlasic, Karlsson, Gambrell, Radil

  13. P1 13:52Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones
  14. P1 14:06Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 16:34Shot by Spezza, saved by Jones
  16. P1 17:04Shot by Muzzin, saved by Jones
  17. P1 17:55Shot by Meier, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 19:36Shot by Vlasic, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 2:59Shot by Matthews, saved by Jones
  22. P2 4:15Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  23. P2 6:16Shot by Johnsson, saved by Jones
  24. P2 6:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Jones
  25. P2 6:54Shot by Heed, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 9:14Shot by Nylander, saved by Jones
  27. P2 9:30Ferraro: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Matthews · SJS Marleau, Couture, Karlsson, Meier, Ferraro

  28. P2 10:24Shot by Spezza, saved by Jones5v4
  29. P2 11:42Goodrow: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · SJS Burns, Dillon, Goodrow, Karlsson, Ferraro

  30. P2 11:52Shot by Marner, saved by Jones5v4
  31. P2 14:32Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 14:43Shot by Ceci, saved by Jones
  33. P2 19:47Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Jones
  34. P2 19:57Goal by Muzzin (Spezza, Mikheyev)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Barrie, Marner, Mikheyev · SJS Burns, Kane, Dillon, Goodrow, Hertl

  35. P2 0:00Period end
  36. P3 0:00Period start
  37. P3 0:30Meier: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · SJS Marleau, Burns, Vlasic, Couture, Meier

  38. P3 0:35Shot by Marner, saved by Jones5v4
  39. P3 1:42Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen5v4
  40. P3 2:37Shot by Meier, saved by Andersen
  41. P3 3:38Karlsson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Gravel, Nylander, Timashov, Matthews · SJS Burns, Karlsson, Gambrell, Ferraro, Radil

  42. P3 5:10Shot by Couture, saved by Andersen5v4
  43. P3 5:18Shot by Burns, saved by Andersen5v4
  44. P3 6:56Shot by Kane, saved by Andersen
  45. P3 8:01Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones
  46. P3 8:53Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Jones
  47. P3 9:59Shot by Johnsson, saved by Jones
  48. P3 10:37Shot by Spezza, saved by Jones
  49. P3 11:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Jones
  50. P3 11:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Jones
  51. P3 14:31Goal by Rielly (Nylander)+37 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Ceci, Kerfoot, Nylander, Mikheyev · SJS Burns, Kane, Dillon, Hertl, Labanc

  52. P3 17:24Shot by Thornton, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 19:12Goal by Mikheyev (Marner)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Mikheyev · SJS Burns, Couture, Karlsson, Kane, Hertl, Labanc

  54. P3 19:30Goal by Matthews (Marner)0 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Ceci, Marner, Matthews, Mikheyev · SJS Heed, Karlsson, Gambrell, Ferraro, Radil

  55. P3 0:00Shot by Radil, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Final