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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 26, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Sissons, saved by McElhinney
  3. P1 1:46Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
  4. P1 2:26Shot by Ekholm, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 3:06Shot by Gourde, saved by Saros
  6. P1 3:47Shot by Bonino, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 4:19Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  8. P1 4:38Shot by Hamhuis, saved by McElhinney
  9. P1 4:54Shot by Watson, saved by McElhinney
  10. P1 5:27Shot by Smith, saved by McElhinney
  11. P1 5:28Witkowski: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Witkowski, Paquette, Sergachev · NSH Josi, Smith, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Granlund

  12. P1 7:13Shot by Ekholm, saved by McElhinney4v5
  13. P1 7:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros4v5
  14. P1 8:16Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  15. P1 8:43Shot by Smith, saved by McElhinney
  16. P1 9:05Shot by Richard, saved by McElhinney
  17. P1 10:11Shot by Turris, saved by McElhinney
  18. P1 13:47Shot by Coburn, saved by Saros
  19. P1 13:54Palat: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · NSH Turris, Ekholm, Granlund, Grimaldi, Fabbro

  20. P1 14:24Goal by Jarnkrok (Josi, Johansen)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli · NSH Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Granlund, Arvidsson

  21. P1 15:14Shot by Grimaldi, saved by McElhinney
  22. P1 16:17Shot by Johnson, saved by Saros
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:26Johansen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Gourde, Cernak, Cirelli · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Granlund, Grimaldi, Fabbro

  26. P2 0:32Goal by Stamkos (Palat, Kucherov)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Sissons

  27. P2 1:54Irwin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Witkowski, Paquette, Sergachev · NSH Hamhuis, Turris, Irwin, Granlund, Grimaldi

  28. P2 2:37Shot by Watson, saved by McElhinney5v4
  29. P2 4:17Shot by Gourde, saved by Saros
  30. P2 5:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros
  31. P2 6:16Shot by Sissons, saved by McElhinney
  32. P2 6:17Maroon: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point · NSH Ellis, Irwin, Watson, Salomaki, Sissons

  33. P2 7:20Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by McElhinney4v5
  34. P2 7:33Shot by Granlund, saved by McElhinney4v5
  35. P2 7:58Shot by Bonino, saved by McElhinney4v5
  36. P2 8:03Shot by Turris, saved by McElhinney4v5
  37. P2 8:11Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros4v5
  38. P2 8:24Shot by Maroon, saved by Saros
  39. P2 9:25Goal by Johnson (Point, Hedman)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NSH Bonino, Ekholm, Smith, Irwin, Richard

  40. P2 9:58Shot by Granlund, saved by McElhinney
  41. P2 10:40Shot by Johansen, saved by McElhinney
  42. P2 10:57Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by McElhinney
  43. P2 11:47Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by McElhinney
  44. P2 12:14Bonino: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point · NSH Bonino, Ekholm, Smith, Richard, Fabbro

  45. P2 12:26Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros5v4
  46. P2 12:51Shot by Johnson, saved by Saros5v4
  47. P2 13:02Shot by Point, saved by Saros5v4
  48. P2 13:33Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros5v4
  49. P2 14:26Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
  50. P2 15:56Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
  51. P2 16:35Shot by Johansen, saved by McElhinney
  52. P2 17:18Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  53. P2 18:58Shot by Maroon, saved by Saros
  54. P2 19:51Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
  55. P2 19:57Shot by Grimaldi, saved by McElhinney
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:41Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  59. P3 1:25Shot by Coburn, saved by Saros
  60. P3 2:30Shot by Hamhuis, saved by McElhinney
  61. P3 2:49Shot by Fabbro, saved by McElhinney
  62. P3 4:11Josi: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Salomaki

  63. P3 4:15Shot by Ekholm, saved by McElhinney5v4
  64. P3 6:33Shot by Joseph, saved by Saros
  65. P3 6:42Shot by Richard, saved by McElhinney
  66. P3 7:09Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by McElhinney
  67. P3 7:46Shot by Granlund, saved by McElhinney
  68. P3 8:10Shot by Palat, saved by Saros
  69. P3 9:04Shot by Josi, saved by McElhinney
  70. P3 10:39Shot by Josi, saved by McElhinney
  71. P3 11:53Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
  72. P3 13:30Shot by Turris, saved by McElhinney
  73. P3 14:31McDonagh: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Gourde, Cernak, Cirelli · NSH Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Fabbro

  74. P3 14:43Shot by Josi, saved by McElhinney4v5
  75. P3 14:47Goal by Josi (Jarnkrok, Johansen)4v5+37 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli · NSH Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Granlund, Arvidsson

  76. P3 15:20Shot by Josi, saved by McElhinney
  77. P3 15:34Shot by Palat, saved by Saros
  78. P3 16:48Shot by Turris, saved by McElhinney
  79. P3 17:04Shot by Point, saved by Saros
  80. P3 17:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
  81. P3 18:37Shot by Ekholm, saved by McElhinney
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. OT 0:00Period start
  84. OT 1:11Joseph: Too many men on the ice (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos · NSH Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson

  85. OT 2:12Shot by Josi, saved by McElhinney3v4
  86. OT 3:15Goal by Ellis (Josi, Sissons)4v4+45 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Hedman, Point, Joseph · NSH Turris, Josi, Ellis, Sissons

  87. OT 3:15Period end
  88. OT 3:15Final4v4