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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 29, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Philadelphia Flyers 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 60% of the time.

PIT winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Crosby, saved by Elliott
  3. P1 0:22Shot by Simon, saved by Elliott
  4. P1 0:41Shot by Crosby, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 3:19Shot by Raffl, saved by Murray
  6. P1 5:01Shot by Rust, saved by Elliott
  7. P1 5:08Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  8. P1 5:36Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  9. P1 5:57Goal by Schultz (Kahun)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Schultz, Rust, McCann, Pettersson, Kahun · PHI Hayes, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Hagg, Farabee

  10. P1 7:17Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  11. P1 7:32Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Elliott
  12. P1 8:13Goal by McCann (Kahun, Rust)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, McCann, Kahun · PHI Niskanen, Stewart, Pitlick, Provorov, Vorobyev

  13. P1 8:46Goal by Simon (Crosby)+9 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon · PHI Braun, Hayes, Raffl, Sanheim, Farabee

  14. P1 9:29Hagg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Hornqvist, Galchenyuk, Blueger, Marino · PHI Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Hagg

  15. P1 11:47Shot by Marino, saved by Elliott
  16. P1 11:59Shot by Simon, saved by Elliott
  17. P1 12:04Shot by Crosby, saved by Elliott
  18. P1 14:02Goal by Crosby (Simon, Letang)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon · PHI Stewart, Braun, Pitlick, Sanheim, Vorobyev

  19. P1 14:40Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Elliott
  20. P1 16:35Shot by Guentzel, saved by Elliott
  21. P1 16:43Shot by Letang, saved by Elliott
  22. P1 17:29Shot by Hagg, saved by Murray
  23. P1 18:11Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Elliott
  24. P1 19:56Hornqvist: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Guentzel, Pettersson, Simon · PHI Niskanen, Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Provorov

  25. P1 19:59Shot by Farabee, saved by Murray4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:20Shot by Couturier, saved by Murray4v5
  29. P2 1:43Shot by Provorov, saved by Murray4v5
  30. P2 2:49Hagg: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Schultz, Guentzel, Pettersson · PHI Hayes, Raffl, Hagg, Sanheim, Farabee

  31. P2 5:17Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Elliott
  32. P2 5:51Shot by Hagg, saved by Murray
  33. P2 6:20Shot by McCann, saved by Elliott
  34. P2 7:29Shot by Crosby, saved by Elliott
  35. P2 7:43Shot by Sanheim, saved by Murray
  36. P2 7:50Shot by Braun, saved by Murray
  37. P2 7:54Shot by Lindblom, saved by Murray
  38. P2 7:55Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  39. P2 8:03Shot by Konecny, saved by Murray
  40. P2 8:16Shot by Blueger, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 8:26Shot by Hayes, saved by Murray
  42. P2 10:08Voracek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon · PHI Giroux, Braun, Voracek, Lindblom, Provorov

  43. P2 10:52Shot by Hayes, saved by Murray5v4
  44. P2 11:32Crosby: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Schultz, Guentzel · PHI Niskanen, Couturier, Hagg, Lindblom

  45. P2 12:59Shot by Voracek, saved by Murray4v5
  46. P2 13:03Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Murray4v5
  47. P2 14:39Shot by Schultz, saved by Elliott
  48. P2 15:41Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Elliott
  49. P2 15:51Shot by Vorobyev, saved by Murray
  50. P2 16:20Shot by Schultz, saved by Elliott
  51. P2 16:27Shot by Guentzel, saved by Elliott
  52. P2 16:37Shot by Guentzel, saved by Elliott
  53. P2 16:40Goal by Guentzel (Crosby, Simon)+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Schultz, Guentzel, Pettersson, Simon · PHI Niskanen, Stewart, Giroux, Raffl, Provorov

  54. P2 16:54Shot by Marino, saved by Elliott
  55. P2 17:00Goal by Aston-Reese (Johnson, Tanev)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Blueger, Marino, Tanev, Aston-Reese · PHI Braun, Hayes, Sanheim, Konecny, Farabee

  56. P2 18:20Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Murray
  57. P2 18:21Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Murray
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:34Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Hart
  61. P3 1:28Shot by Hayes, saved by Murray
  62. P3 1:57Goal by Lindblom (Couturier, Gostisbehere)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Hornqvist, Bjugstad, Galchenyuk, Marino · PHI Stewart, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Hagg, Lindblom

  63. P3 4:45Bjugstad: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Bjugstad, Galchenyuk · PHI Stewart, Braun, Couturier, Sanheim, Lindblom

  64. P3 7:56Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  65. P3 10:56Aston-Reese: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, Tanev, Aston-Reese · PHI Giroux, Braun, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Sanheim

  66. P3 10:56Braun: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Blueger, Tanev, Aston-Reese · PHI Giroux, Braun, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Sanheim

  67. P3 11:08Shot by Letang, saved by Hart4v4
  68. P3 12:37Shot by Couturier, saved by Murray4v4
  69. P3 13:01Shot by Crosby, saved by Hart
  70. P3 13:08Shot by Sanheim, saved by Murray
  71. P3 13:10Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  72. P3 14:19Shot by Voracek, saved by Murray5v6
  73. P3 14:45Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Murray5v6
  74. P3 14:54Marino: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Hornqvist, Blueger, Marino, Tanev · PHI Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Hagg, Konecny

  75. P3 15:18Shot by Konecny, saved by Murray4v5
  76. P3 18:30Shot by McCann, saved by Hart
  77. P3 19:14Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Hart
  78. P3 19:21Shot by Johnson, saved by Hart
  79. P3 19:26Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Hart
  80. P3 19:49Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Hart
  81. P3 19:53Goal by Kahun (Hornqvist)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Hornqvist, Bjugstad, Marino, Kahun · PHI Stewart, Raffl, Hagg, Sanheim, Vorobyev

  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final