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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 2, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 1, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Sheary, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 0:37Shot by Sobotka, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Dobson, saved by Hutton
  5. P1 4:54Shot by Lee, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 5:19Goal by Brassard (Beauvillier)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Skinner, Miller, Olofsson, Jokiharju · NYI Brassard, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Beauvillier

  7. P1 6:46Shot by McCabe, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 8:32Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton
  9. P1 8:38Wahlstrom: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Skinner, Montour, Olofsson, Dahlin · NYI Nelson, Mayfield, Toews, Beauvillier, Wahlstrom

  10. P1 10:12Shot by Bardreau, saved by Hutton5v4
  11. P1 12:18Shot by Reinhart, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 14:53Shot by Nelson, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 14:55Shot by Nelson, saved by Hutton
  14. P1 16:00Shot by Eichel, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 16:57Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Hutton
  16. P1 17:30Shot by Girgensons, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 17:47Shot by Pelech, saved by Hutton
  18. P1 18:34Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Hutton
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:52Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton
  22. P2 2:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Varlamov
  23. P2 5:45McCabe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · NYI Bailey, Lee, Mayfield, Toews, Barzal

  24. P2 6:39Shot by Brassard, saved by Hutton4v5
  25. P2 7:49Shot by Barzal, saved by Hutton
  26. P2 9:16Shot by Vesey, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 9:53Shot by Dobson, saved by Hutton
  28. P2 12:31Shot by Larsson, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 12:35Shot by Girgensons, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 12:41Shot by Montour, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 14:07Pulock: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Vesey, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · NYI Bailey, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  32. P2 14:58Shot by Dahlin, saved by Varlamov5v4
  33. P2 16:10Shot by Eichel, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 16:18Shot by Johansson, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 16:46Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 16:56Shot by Sheary, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 17:19Shot by Toews, saved by Hutton
  38. P2 17:54Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 18:02Shot by Pulock, saved by Hutton
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:57Shot by Girgensons, saved by Varlamov
  43. P3 1:23Johnston: Too many men on the ice (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel · NYI Boychuk, Brassard, Nelson, Beauvillier, Dobson

  44. P3 3:04Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov5v4
  45. P3 3:20Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov5v4
  46. P3 3:27Shot by Montour, saved by Varlamov
  47. P3 3:28Shot by McCabe, saved by Varlamov
  48. P3 4:15Shot by McCabe, saved by Varlamov
  49. P3 5:47Shot by Pulock, saved by Hutton
  50. P3 6:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Varlamov
  51. P3 7:34Shot by Miller, saved by Varlamov
  52. P3 7:44Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Hutton
  53. P3 11:50Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Hutton
  54. P3 17:18Shot by Johansson, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 17:35Shot by Cizikas, saved by Hutton
  56. P3 19:32Shot by Eichel, saved by Varlamov6v5
  57. P3 19:46Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Varlamov6v5
  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final