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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 2, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 1, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bailey–Lee–BarzalClutterbuck–Cizikas–Dal ColleBrassard–Nelson–BeauvillierJohnston–Bardreau–WahlstromBrassard–Lee–BarzalBrassard–Cizikas–Dal CollePelech–PulockMayfield–ToewsBoychuk–DobsonBoychuk–MayfieldToews–DobsonBoychuk–PelechBoychuk–ToewsBoychuk–PulockPelech–ToewsMayfield–Dobson
Vesey–Reinhart–Eichel3:100.04–0.151:520.00–0.163:160.39–0.020:420.00–0.051:100.02–0.005:360.21–0.724:090.19–0.030:330.00–0.000:450.13–0.000:320.09–0.00
Okposo–Larsson–Girgensons5:090.18–0.010:500.02–0.001:360.00–0.002:390.06–0.001:370.35–0.001:500.03–0.061:440.00–0.010:320.00–0.000:570.01–0.00
Sobotka–Sheary–Mittelstadt0:590.00–0.003:440.20–0.002:110.00–0.121:520.17–0.012:380.02–0.001:020.00–0.000:540.00–0.111:440.02–0.00
Johansson–Skinner–Olofsson1:250.00–0.121:280.02–0.062:410.02–0.022:440.15–0.171:360.00–0.021:340.02–0.011:080.02–0.000:460.00–0.01
Vesey–Sheary–Eichel0:450.00–0.250:500.00–0.26
McCabe–Ristolainen7:350.19–0.162:290.01–0.041:180.00–0.151:310.01–0.000:390.12–0.000:320.02–0.005:130.20–0.194:350.16–0.000:300.00–0.000:480.12–0.001:170.02–0.010:590.00–0.111:050.01–0.001:040.00–0.000:430.01–0.00
Montour–Dahlin1:360.03–0.122:390.02–0.164:350.41–0.031:040.00–0.000:430.00–0.005:000.21–0.682:180.38–0.033:180.03–0.010:410.13–0.00
Miller–Jokiharju1:230.00–0.013:100.20–0.112:400.04–0.091:470.00–0.253:110.19–0.024:010.03–0.111:430.01–0.330:480.02–0.00
Montour–Jokiharju0:360.00–0.000:300.02–0.00
Miller–Montour0:500.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Miller–McCabe0:490.00–0.05
Ristolainen–Dahlin0:460.00–0.210:450.00–0.19
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSobotka FMittelstadt FSheary FEichel FVesey FReinhart FSkinner FOlofsson FJohansson FOkposo FLarsson FGirgensons FJokiharju DMiller DRistolainen DMcCabe DDahlin DMontour DHutton GClutterbuck FDal Colle FCizikas FBailey FBarzal FLee FBrassard FBeauvillier FNelson FWahlstrom FJohnston FBardreau FPelech DPulock DMayfield DToews DDobson DBoychuk DVarlamov G
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Adam PelechNYI3024:420:491:4518
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2823:490:511:3943
Jack EichelBUF2323:281:012:3752
Scott MayfieldNYI2723:080:512:5533
Sam ReinhartBUF2322:340:592:5463
Ryan PulockNYI2821:080:451:4525
Josh BaileyNYI2920:530:431:3132
Jake McCabeBUF2420:230:511:4733
Devon ToewsNYI2720:140:451:2062
Rasmus DahlinBUF2019:571:002:1162
Mathew BarzalNYI2619:540:461:1922
Anders LeeNYI2719:330:431:1922
Brandon MontourBUF2118:570:541:3753
Johnny BoychukNYI2318:120:472:0320
Jimmy VeseyBUF2117:180:491:5744
Brock NelsonNYI2517:160:411:3773
Casey CizikasNYI2517:040:411:0926
Colin MillerBUF2117:010:491:2422
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2516:510:401:2006
Marcus JohanssonBUF1815:580:532:0221
Jeff SkinnerBUF1615:360:592:2551
Henri JokiharjuBUF2115:150:441:1023
Anthony BeauvillierNYI2214:370:401:3762
Conor ShearyBUF1714:170:501:2612
Victor OlofssonBUF1714:080:501:4651
Casey MittelstadtBUF1714:050:501:2623
Derick BrassardNYI2114:000:401:0873
Michael Dal ColleNYI1813:130:441:0703
Johan LarssonBUF1712:350:441:1724
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1612:030:451:3323
Noah DobsonNYI1711:520:421:2030
Vladimir SobotkaBUF1311:170:521:1613
Kyle OkposoBUF1510:540:441:4123
Oliver WahlstromNYI128:330:431:4120
Ross JohnstonNYI96:400:441:3520
Cole BardreauNYI96:100:411:3520