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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 4, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Nashville Predators 6, Detroit Red Wings 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 68% of the time.

DET winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:35Goal by Athanasiou (Hronek, Filppula)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nemeth, Athanasiou, Erne, Hronek · NSH Josi, Ellis, Watson, Granlund, Sissons

  3. P1 3:26Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Howard
  4. P1 7:20Shot by Duchene, saved by Howard
  5. P1 9:44Shot by Watson, saved by Howard
  6. P1 10:46Shot by Josi, saved by Howard
  7. P1 11:12Arvidsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · NSH Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Arvidsson

  8. P1 11:47Shot by Cholowski, saved by Rinne5v4
  9. P1 14:01Shot by de la Rose, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 14:43Shot by Turris, saved by Howard
  11. P1 15:23Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Biega, Perlini, Cholowski, Hirose · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Grimaldi

  12. P1 17:20Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne5v4
  13. P1 17:26Shot by Fabbro, saved by Howard
  14. P1 18:58Shot by Granlund, saved by Howard
  15. P1 19:43Shot by Bowey, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:14Shot by Johansen, saved by Howard
  19. P2 1:53Shot by Duchene, saved by Howard
  20. P2 1:55Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Howard
  21. P2 2:00Goal by Bonino (Hamhuis)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Biega, Athanasiou, Erne, Cholowski · NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Weber, Smith, Grimaldi

  22. P2 3:09Shot by Nemeth, saved by Rinne
  23. P2 3:42Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Rinne
  24. P2 4:16Shot by Johansen, saved by Howard
  25. P2 5:32Goal by Turris, unassisted+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Abdelkader, Erne, Bowey, Hicketts · NSH Hamhuis, Turris, Weber, Duchene, Grimaldi

  26. P2 6:34Goal by Sissons (Ellis, Rinne)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · NSH Josi, Ellis, Watson, Granlund, Sissons

  27. P2 7:36Goal by Duchene (Ekholm)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Bowey, Perlini, Hicketts, Hirose · NSH Turris, Duchene, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Fabbro

  28. P2 11:30Shot by Nielsen, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 11:47Shot by Perlini, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 14:11Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 14:11Josi: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  32. P2 16:07Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne5v4
  33. P2 16:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne5v4
  34. P2 16:17Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 16:46Shot by Cholowski, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 16:54Larkin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons

  37. P2 16:54Larkin: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons

  38. P2 16:54Ellis: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons

  39. P2 17:11Shot by Johansen, saved by Bernier4v5
  40. P2 17:12Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier4v5
  41. P2 17:51Shot by Duchene, saved by Bernier4v5
  42. P2 18:10Shot by Josi, saved by Bernier4v5
  43. P2 18:12Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Bernier4v5
  44. P2 18:29Shot by Forsberg, saved by Bernier4v5
  45. P2 18:30Goal by Duchene (Forsberg, Josi)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, Nemeth, Bowey · NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  46. P2 19:45Shot by Nielsen, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:14Shot by Johansen, saved by Bernier
  50. P3 0:41Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  51. P3 1:13Shot by Bowey, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 3:02Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 4:48Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 4:53Shot by Biega, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 5:00Shot by Weber, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 6:17Shot by Granlund, saved by Bernier5v6
  57. P3 6:18Perlini: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Filppula, Athanasiou, Bowey, Perlini, Hicketts · NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Watson, Granlund, Sissons

  58. P3 6:52Goal by Forsberg (Josi, Johansen)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nemeth, Bowey, Larkin · NSH Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  59. P3 8:49Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 9:08Shot by Filppula, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 9:53Shot by Cholowski, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 10:41Larkin: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · NSH Hamhuis, Weber, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  63. P3 17:52Shot by Erne, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final