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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 8, 2019·Ericsson Globe, StockholmNeutral site

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 0:36Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 0:45Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 1:07Shot by Volkov, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 2:25Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 3:19Goal by Kucherov (Point, Shattenkirk)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Johansson, Skinner, Miller, McCabe · TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  8. P1 3:44Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 4:05Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 5:22Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 5:55Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 6:39Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 7:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 7:56Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 7:59Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 8:08Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 9:57Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 11:02Shot by Cirelli, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 13:46Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 15:19Shot by Gourde, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 15:20Dahlin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev

  22. P1 16:14Goal by Killorn (Hedman, Stamkos)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  23. P1 18:54Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 18:55Cernak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Cernak, Volkov

  25. P1 19:21Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 2:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 3:32Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 5:50McCabe: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, Mittelstadt · TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak

  31. P2 7:16Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  32. P2 7:17Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  33. P2 7:43Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark4v5
  34. P2 7:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark4v5
  35. P2 8:15Shot by McDonagh, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 8:20Shot by Paquette, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 8:33Shot by Johnson, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 8:56Shot by Palat, saved by Ullmark
  39. P2 11:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 14:45Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 14:55Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 15:31Shot by McCabe, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 15:43Goal by Reinhart (Ristolainen, McCabe)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel · TBL Stamkos, Schenn, Palat, Sergachev, Volkov

  44. P2 17:31Shot by Paquette, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 17:42Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 19:59Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Ullmark
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 3:23Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 3:32Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 4:14Shot by Vesey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 4:26Ristolainen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Skinner, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · TBL Stamkos, Schenn, Palat, Sergachev, Volkov

  53. P3 4:26Palat: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Skinner, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · TBL Stamkos, Schenn, Palat, Sergachev, Volkov

  54. P3 4:26Skinner: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Skinner, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen · TBL Stamkos, Schenn, Palat, Sergachev, Volkov

  55. P3 7:42Shot by Maroon, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 7:45Goal by Gourde (Maroon, Paquette)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Miller, Vesey, Sheary, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev

  57. P3 7:49Gourde: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Johansson, Skinner, Miller, Jokiharju · TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev

  58. P3 10:18Shot by Larsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 10:53Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 11:27Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 11:30Goal by Reinhart (Jokiharju, Olofsson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju · TBL Stamkos, Schenn, Palat, Sergachev, Volkov

  62. P3 11:36Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 12:37Shot by Paquette, saved by Ullmark
  64. P3 12:42Shot by Paquette, saved by Ullmark
  65. P3 14:12Eichel: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Miller, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel · TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak

  66. P3 15:42Shot by Maroon, saved by Ullmark4v5
  67. P3 15:43Shot by Maroon, saved by Ullmark4v5
  68. P3 15:51Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark4v5
  69. P3 19:10Shot by Reinhart, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  70. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  71. P3 0:00Final