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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 14, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 9

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 81% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:18Shot by Sergachev, saved by Georgiev5v3
  3. P1 2:39Goal by Schenn (Kucherov, Point)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Schenn, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · NYR Smith, Haley, Trouba, Hajek, Andersson

  4. P1 5:19Shot by Schenn, saved by Georgiev6v5
  5. P1 5:33Shot by Killorn, saved by Georgiev6v5
  6. P1 5:35Shot by Killorn, saved by Georgiev6v5
  7. P1 5:36Lemieux: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Schenn, Kucherov, Joseph, Cirelli, Sergachev · NYR McKegg, Skjei, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Howden

  8. P1 5:36DeAngelo: Slashing (2 min)6v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Schenn, Kucherov, Joseph, Cirelli, Sergachev · NYR McKegg, Skjei, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Howden

  9. P1 5:41Goal by Killorn (Kucherov, Stamkos)5v3+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Kucherov, Point · NYR Smith, Strome, Trouba

  10. P1 6:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Georgiev5v4
  11. P1 6:20Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Killorn)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NYR Skjei, Trouba, Howden, Andersson

  12. P1 6:42Goal by Palat (McDonagh)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli · NYR Kreider, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil

  13. P1 8:09Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 9:01Shot by Haley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 9:47Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 10:25Shot by Paquette, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 11:09Schenn: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Schenn, Sergachev · NYR Kreider, Trouba, Buchnevich, Hajek, Chytil

  18. P1 13:13Shot by Trouba, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 13:47Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 14:27Goal by Kreider (Panarin, Lindgren)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point · NYR Kreider, Strome, Skjei, Panarin, Hajek

  21. P1 14:47Shot by Andersson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  22. P1 16:00Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 16:24Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 17:49Shot by Chytil, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 18:40Killorn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Schenn, Cirelli · NYR Kreider, Strome, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren

  26. P1 18:46Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:26Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P2 1:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 6:20Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 6:32Panarin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Verhaeghe, Cernak · NYR Smith, Kreider, Strome, DeAngelo, Lindgren

  33. P2 7:07Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Kucherov)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NYR Smith, McKegg, Lindgren, Howden

  34. P2 7:35Paquette: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev · NYR McKegg, Trouba, Lemieux, Hajek, Howden

  35. P2 7:48Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  36. P2 8:48Shot by Fox, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  37. P2 8:50Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  38. P2 9:32Shot by Lemieux, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  39. P2 10:19Goal by Maroon (Shattenkirk, Gourde)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev · NYR Smith, Haley, Skjei, Hajek, Andersson

  40. P2 10:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 10:48Johnson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · NYR McKegg, Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren, Howden

  42. P2 10:48Lindgren: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · NYR McKegg, Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren, Howden

  43. P2 10:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  44. P2 14:17Goal by Shattenkirk (Gourde, Paquette)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Hedman, Gourde, Paquette · NYR Smith, Kreider, Fast, Skjei, Andersson

  45. P2 14:58Shot by Palat, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 15:58Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 17:07Shot by Andersson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 17:36Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 18:03Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 18:37Shot by Cernak, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 18:54Shot by Lemieux, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 18:55Lemieux: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli · NYR Kreider, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Lindgren, Howden

  53. P2 18:55McDonagh: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli · NYR Kreider, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Lindgren, Howden

  54. P2 18:55Lemieux: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli · NYR Kreider, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Lindgren, Howden

  55. P2 19:01Goal by Killorn (Stamkos, Hedman)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NYR Smith, Fast, Strome, Skjei

  56. P2 19:16Haley: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev · NYR Haley, McKegg, DeAngelo, Hajek, Andersson

  57. P2 19:16Schenn: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev · NYR Haley, McKegg, DeAngelo, Hajek, Andersson

  58. P2 19:16Haley: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev · NYR Haley, McKegg, DeAngelo, Hajek, Andersson

  59. P2 19:16Haley: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev · NYR Haley, McKegg, DeAngelo, Hajek, Andersson

  60. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:16Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Georgiev5v4
  63. P3 2:22Goal by Chytil (Hajek, Panarin)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Gourde, Paquette, Sergachev · NYR Kreider, DeAngelo, Panarin, Hajek, Chytil

  64. P3 3:00Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Georgiev
  65. P3 4:06Shot by Hedman, saved by Georgiev
  66. P3 4:59Shot by Joseph, saved by Georgiev
  67. P3 5:06Shot by Hedman, saved by Georgiev
  68. P3 5:11Shot by Hedman, saved by Georgiev
  69. P3 5:31Shot by Lindgren, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 8:17Shot by Schenn, saved by Georgiev
  71. P3 9:23Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 9:40Lindgren: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Hedman, Paquette, Verhaeghe · NYR McKegg, Fast, Fox, Lindgren, Andersson

  73. P3 10:02Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Georgiev5v4
  74. P3 10:36Shot by Sergachev, saved by Georgiev5v4
  75. P3 10:48Shot by Johnson, saved by Georgiev5v4
  76. P3 10:49Shot by Maroon, saved by Georgiev5v4
  77. P3 11:49Fast: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point · NYR Smith, Fast, Strome, Skjei, Lindgren

  78. P3 12:08Shot by Gourde, saved by Georgiev5v4
  79. P3 12:09Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Georgiev5v4
  80. P3 12:24Goal by Gourde (Johnson, Sergachev)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Johnson, Gourde, Sergachev · NYR Kreider, Strome, Lindgren, Hajek

  81. P3 13:07Shot by Cernak, saved by Georgiev5v4
  82. P3 13:15Shot by Andersson, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  83. P3 13:31Shot by Paquette, saved by Georgiev
  84. P3 14:58Shot by Maroon, saved by Georgiev5v3
  85. P3 15:26Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Vasilevskiy
  86. P3 15:28Goal by Chytil (Buchnevich)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak · NYR Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin, Fox, Chytil

  87. P3 16:12Shot by Fast, saved by Vasilevskiy
  88. P3 17:08Sergachev: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · NYR Strome, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Hajek

  89. P3 17:08Lemieux: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · NYR Strome, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Hajek

  90. P3 17:55Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  91. P3 18:01Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  92. P3 18:35Maroon: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak · NYR Haley, McKegg, Fox, Lindgren, Andersson

  93. P3 18:35Maroon: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak · NYR Haley, McKegg, Fox, Lindgren, Andersson

  94. P3 18:35Haley: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak · NYR Haley, McKegg, Fox, Lindgren, Andersson

  95. P3 19:00Shot by Panarin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  96. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  97. P3 0:00Final