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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 19, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Minnesota Wild 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 68% of the time.

BUF winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:42Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 2:18Shot by Zucker, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 3:09Shot by Dumba, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 3:26McCabe: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, McCabe, Gilmour, Asplund, Dahlin · MIN Koivu, Parise, Brodin, Dumba, Fiala

  6. P1 3:30Shot by Dumba, saved by Ullmark4v5
  7. P1 4:55Parise: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Montour, Asplund, Dahlin · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Zucker

  8. P1 6:36Shot by Olofsson, saved by Stalock5v4
  9. P1 7:14Goal by Parise (Eriksson Ek)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Miller, Vesey, McCabe, Lazar, Mittelstadt · MIN Parise, Brodin, Dumba, Fiala, Eriksson Ek

  10. P1 8:40Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Stalock
  11. P1 9:03Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 10:13Shot by Reinhart, saved by Stalock
  13. P1 10:44Shot by Olofsson, saved by Stalock
  14. P1 11:16Shot by Montour, saved by Stalock
  15. P1 11:22Shot by McCabe, saved by Stalock
  16. P1 13:46Shot by Hartman, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 14:32Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Stalock
  18. P1 14:39Shot by McCabe, saved by Stalock
  19. P1 14:51Shot by Skinner, saved by Stalock
  20. P1 14:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Stalock
  21. P1 16:12Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ullmark
  22. P1 18:01Shot by Staal, saved by Ullmark
  23. P1 18:06Shot by Kunin, saved by Ullmark
  24. P1 18:54Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ullmark
  25. P1 18:56Ristolainen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Sheary, Rodrigues, Jokiharju · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Zucker

  26. P1 19:56Goal by Parise (Suter, Fiala)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Vesey, McCabe, Montour, Rodrigues · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Fiala

  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 2:55Shot by Rask, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 3:10Shot by Girgensons, saved by Stalock
  31. P2 4:33Shot by Dahlin, saved by Stalock
  32. P2 5:29Goal by Brodin (Zucker, Zuccarello)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Miller, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues · MIN Staal, Zuccarello, Zucker, Brodin, Dumba

  33. P2 5:29Skinner: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Miller, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues · MIN Staal, Zuccarello, Zucker, Brodin, Dumba

  34. P2 7:08Shot by Staal, saved by Ullmark4v5
  35. P2 7:20Shot by Vesey, saved by Stalock4v5
  36. P2 7:32Eichel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel, Dahlin · MIN Brodin, Soucy, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  37. P2 7:32Eichel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel, Dahlin · MIN Brodin, Soucy, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  38. P2 8:15Shot by Koivu, saved by Ullmark4v5
  39. P2 9:12Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ullmark4v5
  40. P2 9:23Shot by Gilmour, saved by Stalock4v5
  41. P2 10:24Spurgeon: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Girgensons, Gilmour, Asplund, Jokiharju · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Zucker

  42. P2 11:45Shot by Eichel, saved by Stalock5v4
  43. P2 15:33Shot by Kunin, saved by Ullmark
  44. P2 15:39Shot by Greenway, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 15:40Montour: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · MIN Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  46. P2 15:58Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark4v5
  47. P2 16:47Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Ullmark4v5
  48. P2 17:02Shot by Dumba, saved by Ullmark4v5
  49. P2 17:49Shot by Montour, saved by Stalock
  50. P2 18:06Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 19:08Shot by Miller, saved by Stalock
  52. P2 19:18Shot by Miller, saved by Stalock
  53. P2 19:44Shot by Montour, saved by Stalock
  54. P2 19:50Shot by Montour, saved by Stalock
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 3:25Jokiharju: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Miller, Sheary, Rodrigues, Jokiharju · MIN Spurgeon, Rask, Soucy, Hartman, Donato

  58. P3 4:01Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Ullmark4v5
  59. P3 8:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Stalock
  60. P3 8:52Koivu: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Gilmour, Sheary, Rodrigues, Jokiharju · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Fiala

  61. P3 9:59Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Stalock5v4
  62. P3 10:50Shot by Montour, saved by Stalock5v4
  63. P3 11:44Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Stalock
  64. P3 11:55Shot by Sheary, saved by Stalock
  65. P3 12:03Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Stalock
  66. P3 16:09Shot by Eichel, saved by Stalock6v5
  67. P3 16:11Goal by Montour (Eichel, Olofsson)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Vesey, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · MIN Suter, Hunt, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  68. P3 16:58Shot by Skinner, saved by Stalock6v5
  69. P3 17:00Shot by Eichel, saved by Stalock6v5
  70. P3 17:46Goal by Zucker (Staal, Koivu)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · MIN Koivu, Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker

  71. P3 18:33Shot by Brodin, saved by Ullmark
  72. P3 19:31Shot by Sheary, saved by Stalock
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final