Tue, Nov 19, 2019·BB&T Center, Sunrise
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Florida Panthers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 113 | 110 | 014 | 237 |
| FLA | 211 | 210 | 15 | 526 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:26PHITravis SanheimAssists: Philippe Myers, Kevin Hayes · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 10:38FLAColton SceviourAssists: Mike Matheson, Brett Connolly · Snap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 12:30FLABrett ConnollyAssists: Vincent Trocheck · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–2
- P2 6:46FLAAleksander BarkovGWGAssists: Evgenii Dadonov, Joshua Brown · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–3
- P2 10:23FLAJonathan HuberdeauAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Evgenii Dadonov · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–4
- P2 14:20PHIMorgan FrostAssists: Travis Konecny · Backhand, 0.08 xG2–4
- P3 17:28FLAMike HoffmanENUnassisted · Snap, 0.56 xG2–5
Penalties (6)
- P1 19:24FLAVincent Trocheck: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:35PHIShayne Gostisbehere: High sticking2 min
- P2 16:56FLAJonathan Huberdeau: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:56PHIPhilippe Myers: Cross checking2 min
- P2 16:56PHIPhilippe Myers: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 6:58FLAMike Hoffman: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Trocheck won the faceoff against Couturier
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestGiroux – Konecny – Frost11:08
xG 0.89–0.26 (77%)attempts 17–12goals 1–0
- Couturier – Lindblom – Farabee9:40
xG 0.63–0.32 (66%)attempts 12–6goals 0–0
- Voracek – Couturier – Lindblom3:14
xG 0.17–0.09 (66%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Pitlick – Andreoff – Raffl2:56
xG 0.05–0.34 (13%)attempts 1–3goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestNiskanen – Provorov11:13
xG 0.55–0.29 (66%)attempts 13–7goals 0–1
- Sanheim – Myers11:54
xG 0.70–0.52 (57%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Braun – Provorov3:10
xG 0.08–0.05 (62%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestDadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov10:57
xG 0.98–0.45 (68%)attempts 17–10goals 2–0
- Boyle – Connolly – Trocheck12:00
xG 0.58–0.43 (57%)attempts 9–11goals 1–1
- Sceviour – Toninato – Acciari10:57
xG 0.59–0.51 (54%)attempts 11–16goals 1–0
- Hoffman – Vatrano – Malgin9:18
xG 0.23–0.40 (36%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMatheson – Brown12:05
xG 1.18–0.45 (73%)attempts 16–12goals 3–1
- Stralman – Pysyk17:48
xG 0.84–0.74 (53%)attempts 18–21goals 1–0
- Yandle – Ekblad14:32
xG 0.44–0.87 (34%)attempts 11–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).