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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 25, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York

Minnesota Wild 2, New York Rangers 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 0:45Shot by Skjei, saved by Stalock
  4. P1 1:05Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 1:49Shot by Dumba, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 2:15Shot by Lemieux, saved by Stalock
  7. P1 3:03Nieves: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Haley, Nieves, Fox, Lindgren · MIN Staal, Zucker, Hunt, Soucy, Hartman

  8. P1 3:09Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  9. P1 4:10Shot by Hunt, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  10. P1 5:05Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 5:49Shot by Greenway, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 7:02Shot by Fox, saved by Stalock
  13. P1 8:37Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 9:11Shot by Kreider, saved by Stalock
  15. P1 10:10Fiala: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Haley, Nieves, DeAngelo, Hajek · MIN Koivu, Parise, Hunt, Soucy, Fiala

  16. P1 10:20Shot by Fox, saved by Stalock5v4
  17. P1 10:45Kreider: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Panarin, Fox, Kakko · MIN Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  18. P1 13:41Shot by Hartman, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 13:56Shot by Lemieux, saved by Stalock
  20. P1 14:50Goal by Skjei (DeAngelo, Panarin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Skjei, DeAngelo, Panarin · MIN Staal, Zuccarello, Zucker, Brodin, Dumba

  21. P1 16:42Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 16:53Shot by Chytil, saved by Stalock
  23. P1 17:13Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 17:40Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 19:32Shot by Skjei, saved by Stalock
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 4:40Shot by Hajek, saved by Stalock
  29. P2 4:46Greenway: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Skjei, Trouba, Howden, Kakko · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Fiala, Greenway

  30. P2 5:06Shot by Kakko, saved by Stalock5v4
  31. P2 5:48Shot by Strome, saved by Stalock5v4
  32. P2 6:54Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P2 7:46Shot by Howden, saved by Stalock
  34. P2 8:05Shot by Kreider, saved by Stalock
  35. P2 10:05Shot by Trouba, saved by Stalock
  36. P2 11:24Dumba: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Skjei, Trouba, Buchnevich, Lemieux, Chytil · MIN Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  37. P2 13:12Shot by Kakko, saved by Stalock5v4
  38. P2 13:37Shot by Trouba, saved by Stalock
  39. P2 13:42Shot by Chytil, saved by Stalock
  40. P2 13:48Shot by Lemieux, saved by Stalock
  41. P2 17:11Goal by Parise (Fiala, Spurgeon)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Skjei, Trouba, Buchnevich, Lemieux, Chytil · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Fiala

  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:02Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P3 1:13Shot by Kunin, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P3 2:27Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P3 2:47Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  48. P3 3:33Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P3 4:06Shot by Dumba, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P3 5:10Shot by Trouba, saved by Stalock
  51. P3 5:42Shot by Zucker, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P3 5:51Shot by Donato, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 7:40Shot by Skjei, saved by Stalock
  54. P3 8:26Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 8:52Shot by Dumba, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 8:55Shot by Parise, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P3 10:00Goal by Donato (Hartman)+34 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Skjei, Trouba, Buchnevich · MIN Rask, Brodin, Dumba, Hartman, Donato

  58. P3 13:05Shot by Dumba, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 13:17Shot by Lemieux, saved by Stalock
  60. P3 13:54Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Stalock
  61. P3 15:17Shot by Trouba, saved by Stalock
  62. P3 15:23Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Stalock
  63. P3 15:45Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Stalock
  64. P3 16:09Shot by Fox, saved by Stalock
  65. P3 16:52Hartman: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Skjei, Trouba, Lemieux, Panarin, Howden, Kakko · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Rask, Hartman

  66. P3 17:08Shot by Panarin, saved by Stalock5v4
  67. P3 17:10Goal by Kreider (Panarin, Fox)5v4+42 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, Panarin, Fox, Kakko · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Eriksson Ek, Kunin

  68. P3 18:20Shot by Fox, saved by Stalock
  69. P3 19:09Shot by Kunin, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 0:32Goal by DeAngelo (Panarin, Strome)3v3+55 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, DeAngelo, Panarin · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Eriksson Ek

  73. OT 0:32Period end3v3
  74. OT 0:32Final