Wed, Nov 27, 2019·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Winnipeg Jets 5, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 28 | 27 | 111 | 526 |
| SJS | 19 | 012 | 012 | 133 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:28SJSMelker KarlssonAssists: Joe Thornton, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–1
- P1 13:15WPGPatrik LainePPAssists: Blake Wheeler, Neal Pionk · Slap, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 18:09WPGDavid GustafssonGWGAssists: Anthony Bitetto, Luca Sbisa · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–1
- P2 3:29WPGMark ScheifeleAssists: Kyle Connor, Patrik Laine · Snap, 0.16 xG3–1
- P2 14:01WPGJack RoslovicAssists: Blake Wheeler · Wrist, 0.11 xG4–1
- P3 14:47WPGKyle ConnorENAssists: Patrik Laine · Wrist, 0.55 xG5–1
Penalties (15)
- P1 1:26WPGBlake Wheeler: Holding2 min
- P1 6:37SJSRadim Simek: Interference2 min
- P1 10:39WPGJosh Morrissey: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 12:52SJSTimo Meier: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 9:48SJSDylan Gambrell: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:52WPGJack Roslovic: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:09WPGAnthony Bitetto: Interference2 min
- P3 4:59SJSBrenden Dillon: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
- P3 7:03WPGNeal Pionk: Interference2 min
- P3 17:40WPGMark Scheifele: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:40WPGMark Scheifele: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:40WPGKyle Connor: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:40WPGKyle Connor: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:40SJSBrenden Dillon: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:40SJSBrenden Dillon: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- Wheeler – Ehlers – Roslovic8:59
xG 0.41–0.47 (46%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Shaw – Gustafsson – Luoto7:09
xG 0.07–0.21 (24%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Laine11:47
xG 0.51–0.68 (43%)attempts 6–12goals 1–0
- Perreault – Lowry – Copp8:28
xG 0.05–0.24 (18%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Pionk13:36
xG 0.27–0.15 (64%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
- Sbisa – Bitetto11:11
xG 0.31–0.55 (36%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
- Poolman – Morrissey15:05
xG 0.66–1.14 (37%)attempts 9–17goals 2–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Couture – Kane10:10
xG 0.72–0.50 (59%)attempts 16–8goals 0–1
- Goodrow – Labanc – Meier6:57
xG 0.41–0.28 (59%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Kane – Gambrell – Suomela2:52
xG 0.08–0.01 (85%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Meier – Gambrell – Suomela2:55
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Karlsson9:11
xG 0.57–0.35 (62%)attempts 11–5goals 0–1
- Burns – Simek10:12
xG 0.45–0.32 (58%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Burns – Heed2:16
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).