Sat, Nov 30, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
San Jose Sharks 4, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 17 | 216 | 17 | 430 |
| ARI | 29 | 06 | 08 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:33ARINick SchmaltzAssists: Christian Dvorak, Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 2:12ARIDerek StepanAssists: Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
- P1 11:01SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Erik Karlsson, Evander Kane · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 2:55SJSDylan GambrellAssists: Melker Karlsson · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 8:52SJSTimo MeierGWGAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Tomas Hertl · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 19:31SJSLogan CoutureENAssists: Tomas Hertl, Barclay Goodrow · Wrist, 0.56 xG4–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 16:34ARIJakob Chychrun: High sticking2 min
- P3 0:36SJSErik Karlsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:55SJSErik Karlsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:11SJSRadim Simek: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Goodrow
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Kane – Goodrow13:03
xG 0.30–0.11 (73%)attempts 10–6goals 1–0
- Thornton – Sorensen – Labanc9:11
xG 0.19–0.20 (48%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Marleau – Hertl – Meier12:48
xG 0.37–0.44 (46%)attempts 11–9goals 1–1
- Karlsson – Gregor – Gambrell8:49
xG 0.31–0.51 (38%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Karlsson17:44
xG 0.58–0.44 (57%)attempts 15–10goals 2–0
- Dillon – Ferraro13:08
xG 0.42–0.34 (55%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
- Burns – Simek14:27
xG 0.20–0.63 (24%)attempts 9–13goals 1–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestStepan – Hinostroza – Keller7:33
xG 0.38–0.14 (73%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Kessel – Stepan – Keller4:26
xG 0.14–0.02 (88%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Richardson – Grabner – Fischer10:49
xG 0.39–0.29 (57%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Schmaltz – Dvorak – Garland9:40
xG 0.36–0.39 (48%)attempts 8–10goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson14:09
xG 0.52–0.32 (62%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Oesterle – Lyubushkin16:06
xG 0.47–0.29 (62%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun17:04
xG 0.47–0.62 (43%)attempts 14–15goals 0–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).