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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 2, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 4, Detroit Red Wings 1

Away

New York Islanders

4

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:45Shot by Fabbri, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:54Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 3:12Helm: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Larkin, Hronek · NYI Bailey, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  5. P1 3:28Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier4v5
  6. P1 3:41Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier4v5
  7. P1 4:03Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier4v5
  8. P1 6:51Shot by Green, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 7:55Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 8:05Shot by Larkin, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 8:41Shot by Bailey, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 8:46Goal by Lee (Barzal, Bailey)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Biega, Athanasiou, Bertuzzi, Larkin · NYI Bailey, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  13. P1 9:49Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 9:58Shot by Glendening, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 10:22Shot by Nemeth, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 11:06Shot by Brassard, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 11:08Beauvillier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nemeth, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina · NYI Boychuk, Brassard, Leddy, Nelson, Beauvillier

  18. P1 11:56Shot by Fabbri, saved by Varlamov5v4
  19. P1 13:17Goal by Beauvillier (Bailey, Pulock)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Green, Athanasiou, Perlini, Hronek · NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Bailey, Pulock, Beauvillier

  20. P1 16:31Boychuk: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Larkin, Hronek · NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Bailey, Leddy, Barzal

  21. P1 16:48Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Bernier5v4
  22. P1 18:40Shot by Larkin, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 18:42Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 19:03Shot by Helm, saved by Varlamov
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:15Shot by Erne, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 1:14Shot by Larkin, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 1:26Shot by Lee, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 5:00Lee: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Glendening, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek · NYI Bailey, Lee, Pelech, Toews, Barzal

  31. P2 5:21Shot by Green, saved by Varlamov5v4
  32. P2 6:05Shot by Hronek, saved by Varlamov5v4
  33. P2 6:34Shot by Cholowski, saved by Varlamov5v4
  34. P2 7:34Shot by Nemeth, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 7:43Toews: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Helm, Athanasiou, Cholowski · NYI Brassard, Nelson, Mayfield, Toews, Beauvillier

  36. P2 8:09Shot by Zadina, saved by Varlamov5v4
  37. P2 10:24Shot by Glendening, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 10:26Leddy: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Glendening, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek · NYI Bailey, Leddy, Lee, Pulock, Barzal

  39. P2 10:34Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Varlamov5v4
  40. P2 10:36Goal by Larkin (Bertuzzi, Zadina)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Cholowski, Zadina · NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Mayfield, Pelech

  41. P2 11:06Shot by Nielsen, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 13:02Shot by Erne, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 14:05Shot by Mayfield, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 14:12Shot by Pulock, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 14:26Nielsen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek · NYI Bailey, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  46. P2 14:58Nemeth: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Filppula, Helm, Nemeth, McIlrath · NYI Brassard, Nelson, Pulock, Barzal, Beauvillier

  47. P2 15:02Shot by Boychuk, saved by Bernier3v5
  48. P2 15:31Shot by Pulock, saved by Bernier3v5
  49. P2 16:34Goal by Eberle (Lee, Leddy)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, McIlrath, Hronek · NYI Boychuk, Eberle, Leddy, Lee, Barzal

  50. P2 18:04Shot by Erne, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 2:37Koivula: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Helm, Nemeth, Athanasiou, Hronek · NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Eberle, Leddy, Koivula

  54. P3 3:13Shot by Fabbri, saved by Varlamov5v4
  55. P3 4:07Shot by Nielsen, saved by Varlamov5v4
  56. P3 4:08Shot by Nielsen, saved by Varlamov5v4
  57. P3 5:29Shot by Leddy, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 6:08Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 6:51Shot by Glendening, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 8:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 8:25Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 9:11Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 10:43Shot by Lee, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 11:53Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 12:57Shot by Eberle, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 13:24Goal by Eberle (Pulock, Komarov)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Erne, Perlini, Ehn, Hronek · NYI Komarov, Eberle, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock

  67. P3 13:51Shot by Barzal, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 13:58Shot by Toews, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 15:11Shot by Cizikas, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 16:43Glendening: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Green, Glendening, Erne, Hronek · NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Leddy, Nelson, Beauvillier

  71. P3 18:22Shot by Nelson, saved by Bernier4v5
  72. P3 18:46Filppula: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Helm, Nemeth, McIlrath, Glendening · NYI Brassard, Nelson, Mayfield, Pulock, Barzal

  73. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  74. P3 0:00Final