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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 12, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Nashville Predators 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Nashville Predators

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Reinhart, saved by Saros
  3. P1 0:57Goal by Duchene (Turris)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Johansson, Vesey, Asplund, Jokiharju · NSH Turris, Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Fabbro

  4. P1 1:28Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  5. P1 2:39Shot by Ellis, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 2:50Shot by Duchene, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 3:00Shot by Vesey, saved by Saros
  8. P1 3:44Shot by Eichel, saved by Saros
  9. P1 4:31Shot by Reinhart, saved by Saros
  10. P1 4:48Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  11. P1 5:12Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Saros
  12. P1 5:14Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Saros
  13. P1 5:29Shot by Carr, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 5:36Shot by Reinhart, saved by Saros
  15. P1 6:43Shot by Josi, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 7:06Shot by Miller, saved by Saros
  17. P1 8:16Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 8:40Shot by McCabe, saved by Saros
  19. P1 11:46Shot by Girgensons, saved by Saros
  20. P1 12:46Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Saros
  21. P1 14:33Goal by Vesey (Ristolainen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Johansson, Skinner, Vesey, McCabe, Ristolainen · NSH Turris, Duchene, Ekholm, Granlund, Fabbro

  22. P1 15:27Shot by Josi, saved by Ullmark
  23. P1 15:32Goal by Sissons (Ellis)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Miller, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Watson, Sissons

  24. P1 17:12Shot by Johansson, saved by Saros
  25. P1 17:45Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Ullmark
  26. P1 17:47Shot by Bonino, saved by Ullmark
  27. P1 17:50Montour: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCabe, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi

  28. P1 19:08Shot by Josi, saved by Ullmark4v5
  29. P1 19:08Scandella: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen · NSH Josi, Duchene, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Forsberg

  30. P1 19:59Shot by Ellis, saved by Ullmark4v5
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:09Shot by Ellis, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 2:03Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 2:35Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 2:59Shot by Johansson, saved by Saros
  37. P2 4:13Shot by Johansen, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 4:55Goal by Eichel (Reinhart, Miller)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McCabe, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Smith, Grimaldi, Fabbro

  39. P2 5:39Shot by Josi, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 5:44Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 6:04Shot by Weber, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 7:01Shot by Montour, saved by Saros
  43. P2 7:15Duchene: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · NSH Hamhuis, Turris, Weber, Duchene, Granlund

  44. P2 8:43Shot by Olofsson, saved by Saros5v4
  45. P2 9:32Shot by Girgensons, saved by Saros
  46. P2 11:47Shot by Johansson, saved by Saros
  47. P2 12:52Shot by Miller, saved by Saros
  48. P2 13:58Shot by Scandella, saved by Saros
  49. P2 14:21Goal by Eichel (Jokiharju, Dahlin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel, Jokiharju, Dahlin · NSH Josi, Watson, Sissons, Carr, Fabbro

  50. P2 14:56Shot by Duchene, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 15:47Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ullmark
  52. P2 16:07Goal by Johansen (Forsberg, Jarnkrok)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Miller, Girgensons, Montour, Rodrigues, Asplund · NSH Hamhuis, Weber, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Forsberg

  53. P2 18:21Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ullmark
  54. P2 19:55Shot by Josi, saved by Ullmark
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:15Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 0:21Shot by Josi, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 0:23Shot by Ellis, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 0:35Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 1:56Shot by Smith, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 5:03Shot by Smith, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 6:00Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Ullmark
  64. P3 6:18Shot by Ekholm, saved by Ullmark
  65. P3 6:42Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  66. P3 6:46Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  67. P3 7:08Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Saros
  68. P3 8:29Goal by Olofsson (Montour, Reinhart)+29 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel, Dahlin · NSH Ekholm, Watson, Sissons, Carr, Fabbro

  69. P3 9:07Shot by Girgensons, saved by Saros
  70. P3 9:19Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  71. P3 9:35Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ullmark
  72. P3 11:21Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Ullmark
  73. P3 11:38Shot by Josi, saved by Ullmark
  74. P3 14:33Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 14:35Shot by Bonino, saved by Ullmark
  76. P3 17:17Shot by Okposo, saved by Saros
  77. P3 18:11Shot by Girgensons, saved by Saros
  78. P3 19:02Shot by Ekholm, saved by Ullmark5v6
  79. P3 19:14Shot by Ekholm, saved by Ullmark5v6
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final5v6