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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 14, 2019·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Edmonton Oilers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Koskinen
  3. P1 1:11Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen
  4. P1 1:34Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen
  5. P1 1:52Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:11Shot by Kassian, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 3:43Shot by Archibald, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 3:46Shot by Khaira, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 4:32Shot by Barrie, saved by Koskinen
  10. P1 4:38Goal by Kerfoot (Engvall, Rielly)+19 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Neal, Russell, Gagner, Nugent-Hopkins, Jones · TOR Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, Mikheyev

  11. P1 5:11Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen
  12. P1 5:26Shot by Ceci, saved by Koskinen
  13. P1 5:43Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 6:40Shot by Kapanen, saved by Koskinen
  15. P1 7:14Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 8:26Shot by Marner, saved by Koskinen
  17. P1 8:27Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen
  18. P1 8:28Shot by Hyman, saved by Koskinen
  19. P1 9:40Shot by Jones, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 12:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Koskinen
  21. P1 12:37Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 12:37Shot by Sheahan, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 13:48Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 17:00Shot by Ceci, saved by Koskinen
  25. P1 17:26Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 18:54Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 2:42Shot by Granlund, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 3:43Shot by Hyman, saved by Koskinen
  31. P2 5:25Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Koskinen
  32. P2 5:27Shot by Engvall, saved by Koskinen
  33. P2 5:27Goal by Mikheyev (Kerfoot, Engvall)+15 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kassian, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, Mikheyev

  34. P2 5:53Shot by Neal, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 8:36Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 10:15Shot by Khaira, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 10:19Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 10:44Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 11:07Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 11:54Shot by Holl, saved by Koskinen
  41. P2 12:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Koskinen
  42. P2 12:52Shot by Gauthier, saved by Koskinen
  43. P2 14:08Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 14:23Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 14:39Muzzin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Kassian, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Hyman, Marner

  46. P2 15:54Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen5v4
  47. P2 17:16Shot by Sheahan, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 18:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Koskinen
  49. P2 19:36Shot by Rielly, saved by Koskinen
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:36Shot by Rielly, saved by Koskinen
  53. P3 1:22Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 2:15Shot by Rielly, saved by Koskinen
  55. P3 2:34Shot by Khaira, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 4:42Shot by Hyman, saved by Koskinen
  57. P3 4:58Shot by Hyman, saved by Koskinen
  58. P3 5:39Shot by Haas, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 5:43Ceci: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid · TOR Rielly, Ceci, Nylander, Kapanen, Matthews

  60. P3 6:08Goal by Chiasson (Draisaitl, Klefbom)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner

  61. P3 6:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Koskinen
  62. P3 9:48Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 9:53Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 10:08Shot by Timashov, saved by Koskinen
  65. P3 10:20Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 10:44Shot by Haas, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 12:11Shot by Kassian, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 12:58Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 13:49Goal by Gauthier (Timashov)+11 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Chiasson, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear · TOR Spezza, Rielly, Ceci, Gauthier, Timashov

  70. P3 14:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Koskinen
  71. P3 15:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Koskinen
  72. P3 17:39Haas: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: EDM Neal, Chiasson, Larsson, Klefbom, Khaira, Haas · TOR Muzzin, Rielly, Gauthier, Kapanen, Timashov

  73. P3 17:50Shot by Archibald, saved by Andersen4v5
  74. P3 18:39Goal by Marner (Hyman)0 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Neal, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bear · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  75. P3 19:05Shot by Chiasson, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 19:54Shot by Archibald, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 19:58Shot by Khaira, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final