Sat, Dec 14, 2019·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Edmonton Oilers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 65% of the time.
28%
9%
56%
EDM winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 27:01 | 0.01 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:10 | 0.02 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 24:53 | 0.07 | 59.9% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:56 | 0.02 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.69 | 74.7% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:02 | 0.83 | 69.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:02 | 0.54 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.01 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.07 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.39 | 66.5% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:34 | 0.21 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.42 | 70.9% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.12 | 73.6% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.03 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:39 | 0.04 | 46.4% | +10.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:31 | 0.43 | 54.9% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:45 | 0.00 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2:52 | 0.03 | 77.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 3.07 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28:11 | 0.09 | 66.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:43 | 0.08 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:21 | 0.15 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:31 | 0.33 | 27.5% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:22 | 0.16 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:34 | 0.00 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:01 | 0.23 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.11 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:30 | 0.41 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.06 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:00 | 0.33 | 89.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 11:43 | 0.30 | 45.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:40 | 0.12 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:35 | 0.37 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.03 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:46 | 0.22 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.00 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:08 | 0.08 | 23.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.28 | +0.3 | 59:14 |