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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 23, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 8

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

6

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Tavares, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 0:30Goal by Spezza (Tavares, Mikheyev)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Mikheyev · CAR Staal, Edmundson, Pesce, Foegele, Svechnikov

  4. P1 0:49Shot by Barrie, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 0:55Shot by Marner, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 1:33Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 2:14Shot by Martinook, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 3:12Pesce: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · CAR Niederreiter, Edmundson, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho

  9. P1 3:40Goal by Nylander (Tavares, Marner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · CAR Staal, Hamilton, McGinn, Slavin

  10. P1 4:30Shot by Hamilton, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 5:10Goal by Tavares (Spezza, Kerfoot)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Timashov · CAR Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho

  12. P1 5:25Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 6:24Shot by Ceci, saved by Mrazek4v5
  14. P1 7:05Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Mrazek4v5
  15. P1 7:58Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen4v5
  16. P1 8:10Shot by Haula, saved by Andersen4v5
  17. P1 9:34Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen4v4
  18. P1 9:44Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen4v4
  19. P1 9:49Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen4v4
  20. P1 10:46Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen5v4
  21. P1 11:06Shot by Barrie, saved by Mrazek5v4
  22. P1 11:36Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 12:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 13:01Shot by McGinn, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 13:28Foegele: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews · CAR Staal, Gardiner, van Riemsdyk, Foegele, Svechnikov

  26. P1 13:49Goal by McGinn (Pesce, Wallmark)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · CAR Edmundson, McGinn, Pesce, Wallmark

  27. P1 16:08Shot by Dermott, saved by Mrazek
  28. P1 17:47Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  29. P1 17:56Muzzin: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Marner, Mikheyev · CAR Niederreiter, Edmundson, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho

  30. P1 18:00Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen
  31. P1 19:12Shot by Gardiner, saved by Andersen
  32. P1 19:35Goal by Necas (Wallmark, Niederreiter)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Holl, Hyman, Kapanen, Dermott · CAR Gardiner, Niederreiter, Dzingel, Wallmark, Necas

  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 2:00Dermott: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ceci, Kerfoot, Nylander, Kapanen, Dermott · CAR Gardiner, Haula, Dzingel, van Riemsdyk, Necas

  36. P2 2:07Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 2:24Shot by Hamilton, saved by Andersen4v5
  38. P2 2:29Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen5v4
  39. P2 2:56Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen5v4
  40. P2 3:13Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen5v4
  41. P2 5:13Shot by Martinook, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 6:36Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Andersen4v5
  43. P2 8:55Shot by Holl, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 9:00Shot by Timashov, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 9:15Shot by Holl, saved by Mrazek
  46. P2 9:27Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 9:40Shot by Martinook, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 12:30Niederreiter: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Gauthier, Timashov · CAR Niederreiter, Edmundson, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho

  49. P2 13:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Mrazek5v4
  50. P2 13:11Shot by Marner, saved by Mrazek5v4
  51. P2 15:09Goal by Necas (Haula, Dzingel)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Rielly, Ceci, Kerfoot, Mikheyev · CAR Gardiner, Haula, Dzingel, Pesce, Necas

  52. P2 15:29Goal by Haula (Necas)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Timashov, Mikheyev · CAR Gardiner, Haula, Dzingel, van Riemsdyk, Necas

  53. P2 16:13Goal by Svechnikov (Staal, Teravainen)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Hyman, Marner · CAR Staal, Gardiner, Teravainen, Slavin, Svechnikov

  54. P2 16:42Shot by Slavin, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 16:45Shot by Aho, saved by Andersen5v4
  56. P2 17:09Shot by Barrie, saved by Mrazek
  57. P2 17:29Shot by Dermott, saved by Mrazek
  58. P2 19:42Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen4v5
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:21Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 0:35Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 0:59Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 1:04Shot by Hamilton, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 2:35Goal by Matthews (Hyman, Marner)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Hyman, Marner, Matthews · CAR Gardiner, Martinook, McGinn, van Riemsdyk, Wallmark

  66. P3 3:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek
  67. P3 3:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 3:31Shot by Hamilton, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 3:39Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 5:58Goal by Haula (Dzingel, Necas)4v3+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Ceci, Dermott, Mikheyev · CAR Haula, Dzingel, Hamilton, Pesce, Necas

  71. P3 7:23Shot by Dermott, saved by Mrazek4v4
  72. P3 8:09Shot by Muzzin, saved by Mrazek3v3
  73. P3 9:45Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  74. P3 10:08Shot by Kapanen, saved by Mrazek
  75. P3 10:34Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 10:48Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  77. P3 11:01Goal by Marner (Matthews, Barrie)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · CAR Niederreiter, Edmundson, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho

  78. P3 11:54Goal by Barrie (Marner, Hyman)+36 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · CAR Edmundson, Martinook, McGinn, Pesce, Wallmark

  79. P3 12:00Goal by Marner, unassisted+33 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, Matthews · CAR Staal, Gardiner, van Riemsdyk, Foegele, Svechnikov

  80. P3 12:33Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  81. P3 12:43Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Mrazek
  82. P3 13:22Shot by Pesce, saved by Andersen
  83. P3 14:47Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  84. P3 15:05Shot by Hyman, saved by Mrazek
  85. P3 15:13Marner: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Hyman, Rielly, Ceci, Marner, Matthews · CAR Staal, Gardiner, Pesce, Foegele, Svechnikov

  86. P3 16:26Shot by Teravainen, saved by Andersen3v3
  87. P3 18:20Goal by Engvall (Hyman)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Ceci, Engvall · CAR Gardiner, Haula, Niederreiter, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho

  88. P3 18:57Shot by Engvall, saved by Mrazek
  89. P3 19:17Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Mrazek
  90. P3 19:43Shot by Foegele, saved by Andersen
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final