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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 23, 2019·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Colorado Avalanche 7, Vegas Golden Knights 3

Away

Colorado Avalanche

7

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 57% of the time.

VGK winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:03Shot by Karlsson, saved by Francouz5v4
  3. P1 1:33Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Francouz
  4. P1 1:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 1:53Shot by Stone, saved by Francouz
  6. P1 1:57Shot by Hague, saved by Francouz
  7. P1 2:05Theodore: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, Stone, Stephenson, Theodore, Hague · COL Johnson, Kadri, Donskoi, Graves, Burakovsky

  8. P1 2:33Shot by Stone, saved by Francouz5v4
  9. P1 3:38Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Fleury5v4
  10. P1 4:02Shot by Nosek, saved by Francouz5v4
  11. P1 4:14Shot by Compher, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 4:37Goal by Bellemare (Compher, Cole)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Theodore, Zykov, Tuch, Hague · COL Cole, Nieto, Compher, Bellemare, Girard

  13. P1 5:30Shot by Stephenson, saved by Francouz
  14. P1 6:00Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Francouz
  15. P1 6:50Shot by Schmidt, saved by Francouz
  16. P1 7:43Shot by Marchessault, saved by Francouz
  17. P1 9:56Shot by Bellemare, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 10:22Shot by Reaves, saved by Francouz
  19. P1 10:23Goal by Reaves (Nosek, McNabb)+20 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Reaves, McNabb, Schmidt, Carrier, Nosek · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen, Girard

  20. P1 11:11Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 11:55Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleury5v4
  22. P1 12:08Shot by Nosek, saved by Francouz5v4
  23. P1 14:11Donskoi: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Theodore, Zykov, Tuch, Hague · COL Cole, Kadri, Donskoi, Burakovsky, Lindholm

  24. P1 14:28Goal by Nieto (Compher)+18 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Tuch · COL Johnson, Nieto, Graves, Compher

  25. P1 15:02Shot by Hague, saved by Francouz
  26. P1 16:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  27. P1 17:04Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury
  28. P1 17:35Goal by Kadri, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Stephenson, Theodore, Zykov, Hague · COL Cole, Calvert, Kadri, Lindholm, Jost

  29. P1 17:39Shot by Tuch, saved by Francouz
  30. P1 18:07Shot by Stastny, saved by Francouz
  31. P1 18:11Shot by Zykov, saved by Francouz4v5
  32. P1 19:25Shot by Schmidt, saved by Francouz
  33. P1 19:52Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 1:38Shot by Cole, saved by Fleury
  37. P2 2:23Shot by Donskoi, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 2:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Francouz
  39. P2 3:04Shot by Schmidt, saved by Francouz
  40. P2 4:52Shot by Calvert, saved by Fleury
  41. P2 6:23Shot by Schmidt, saved by Francouz5v4
  42. P2 8:37Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 8:49Engelland: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Pacioretty, Holden, Stone, Stephenson · COL Calvert, Nichushkin, Zadorov, Bellemare, Girard

  44. P2 8:49Nichushkin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Pacioretty, Holden, Stone, Stephenson · COL Calvert, Nichushkin, Zadorov, Bellemare, Girard

  45. P2 9:54Shot by Graves, saved by Fleury4v5
  46. P2 10:48Shot by Tuch, saved by Francouz
  47. P2 10:58Shot by Nieto, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 11:25Shot by Bellemare, saved by Fleury
  49. P2 11:56Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Francouz
  50. P2 11:57Goal by Pacioretty (Stephenson, Stone)+17 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, McNabb, Stone, Stephenson, Schmidt · COL Compher, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Jost, Girard

  51. P2 12:58Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury
  52. P2 13:43Shot by Nieto, saved by Fleury
  53. P2 13:45Schmidt: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, McNabb, Stone, Schmidt, Theodore · COL Johnson, Calvert, Nieto, Bellemare, Girard

  54. P2 13:45Pacioretty: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, McNabb, Stone, Schmidt, Theodore · COL Johnson, Calvert, Nieto, Bellemare, Girard

  55. P2 13:45Calvert: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, McNabb, Stone, Schmidt, Theodore · COL Johnson, Calvert, Nieto, Bellemare, Girard

  56. P2 14:06Goal by Landeskog (MacKinnon, Girard)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Holden, McNabb, Stone, Stephenson · COL Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  57. P2 14:25Shot by Nosek, saved by Francouz
  58. P2 16:56Shot by Calvert, saved by Fleury
  59. P2 16:58Goal by Bellemare (Nichushkin)+7 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Hague · COL Cole, Calvert, Nichushkin, Bellemare, Lindholm

  60. P2 16:58Marchessault: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Smith, Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Hague · COL Cole, Calvert, Nichushkin, Bellemare, Lindholm

  61. P2 17:25Shot by Stone, saved by Francouz
  62. P2 18:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  63. P2 19:22Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Francouz
  64. P2 19:31Shot by Stone, saved by Francouz
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:17Shot by Graves, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 0:29Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Fleury5v6
  69. P3 2:06Goal by Carrier (Schmidt, Smith)+6 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Smith, Stephenson, Schmidt, Carrier, Hague · COL Cole, Kadri, Burakovsky, Lindholm, Rantanen

  70. P3 2:38Holden: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Holden, Smith, Stephenson, Carrier, Hague · COL Cole, Kadri, Donskoi, Burakovsky, Lindholm

  71. P3 3:34Shot by Stone, saved by Francouz4v5
  72. P3 3:49Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury4v5
  73. P3 3:57Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Smith, Stephenson, Schmidt · COL Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard

  74. P3 5:40Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleury
  75. P3 5:56Shot by Landeskog, saved by Fleury
  76. P3 8:40Shot by Graves, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 8:48Shot by Graves, saved by Fleury
  78. P3 8:53Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Fleury
  79. P3 10:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  80. P3 13:57Shot by Engelland, saved by Francouz
  81. P3 14:22Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Francouz
  82. P3 14:32Hague: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Pacioretty, Schmidt, Tuch, Hague · COL Johnson, Kadri, Donskoi, Graves, Burakovsky

  83. P3 15:11Shot by Kadri, saved by Fleury4v5
  84. P3 16:50Shot by Graves, saved by Fleury
  85. P3 16:53Goal by Nichushkin, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, Holden, Marchessault, Schmidt, Nosek · COL Johnson, Donskoi, Graves, Nichushkin, Jost

  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final