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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 28, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Nashville Predators 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 55% of the time.

PIT winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros
  3. P1 0:32Goal by Rust (Guentzel, Malkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson · NSH Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Arvidsson

  4. P1 0:50Shot by Blueger, saved by Saros
  5. P1 1:02Shot by Riikola, saved by Saros
  6. P1 1:05Goal by Kahun (Galchenyuk, Riikola)+12 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Galchenyuk, Ruhwedel, McCann, Riikola, Kahun · NSH Bonino, Ekholm, Watson, Grimaldi, Fabbro

  7. P1 2:39Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Murray
  8. P1 3:46Shot by Bonino, saved by Murray
  9. P1 5:24Shot by Smith, saved by Murray
  10. P1 5:27Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Murray
  11. P1 5:34Shot by Ekholm, saved by Murray
  12. P1 5:44Shot by Ekholm, saved by Murray
  13. P1 6:01Shot by Guentzel, saved by Saros
  14. P1 6:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Saros
  15. P1 8:01Turris: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Galchenyuk, Marino, Riikola, Kahun · NSH Turris, Ekholm, Granlund, Forsberg, Fabbro

  16. P1 9:04Goal by Letang (Malkin, Rust)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Rust, Guentzel · NSH Josi, Ellis, Watson, Johansen

  17. P1 9:50Shot by Pettersson, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 10:11Shot by McCann, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 10:59Shot by Letang, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 11:46Shot by Riikola, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 11:56Shot by Pettersson, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 13:38Shot by Lafferty, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 13:41Shot by Simon, saved by Rinne
  24. P1 14:39Shot by Rust, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 16:40Shot by Blackwell, saved by Murray
  26. P1 16:57Shot by Blackwell, saved by Murray
  27. P1 17:17Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  28. P1 19:32Shot by Bonino, saved by Murray
  29. P1 19:44Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Murray
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:58Shot by Marino, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 0:58Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 2:28Shot by Weber, saved by Murray
  35. P2 2:46Shot by McCann, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 3:41Lafferty: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Hornqvist, Pettersson, Lafferty, Marino, Simon · NSH Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Arvidsson, Fabbro

  37. P2 4:06Shot by Ellis, saved by Murray4v5
  38. P2 4:07Goal by Arvidsson (Jarnkrok, Josi)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Blueger, Pettersson, Marino, Tanev · NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson

  39. P2 4:31Turris: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Johnson, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · NSH Turris, Ekholm, Smith, Blackwell, Fabbro

  40. P2 5:28Shot by Malkin, saved by Rinne5v4
  41. P2 6:53Smith: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT McCann, Marino, Tanev, Aston-Reese, Riikola · NSH Turris, Josi, Ellis, Granlund, Arvidsson

  42. P2 8:02Goal by Galchenyuk (Marino, Riikola)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Galchenyuk, McCann, Marino, Riikola, Kahun · NSH Ekholm, Watson, Tinordi, Forsberg

  43. P2 9:06Shot by Tanev, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 9:15Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 9:50Shot by Letang, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 10:20Shot by Blackwell, saved by Murray
  47. P2 11:18Shot by Duchene, saved by Murray
  48. P2 12:27Shot by Josi, saved by Murray
  49. P2 12:40Shot by Turris, saved by Murray
  50. P2 13:35Shot by Forsberg, saved by Murray
  51. P2 14:43Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Murray
  52. P2 14:44Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Murray
  53. P2 14:51Shot by Weber, saved by Murray
  54. P2 16:03Goal by Smith (Blackwell, Josi)+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Blueger, Ruhwedel, Tanev, Aston-Reese, Riikola · NSH Turris, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Blackwell

  55. P2 17:14Shot by Forsberg, saved by Murray
  56. P2 17:40Shot by Johansen, saved by Murray
  57. P2 18:52Shot by Smith, saved by Murray
  58. P2 18:59Shot by Duchene, saved by Murray
  59. P2 19:01Goal by Granlund (Duchene, Forsberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Johnson, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg

  60. P2 19:18Shot by Letang, saved by Rinne
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:59Shot by Duchene, saved by Murray
  64. P3 1:57Shot by Turris, saved by Murray
  65. P3 2:16Shot by Smith, saved by Murray
  66. P3 2:22Shot by Guentzel, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 2:23Shot by Malkin, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 3:35Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Murray
  69. P3 4:18Shot by Duchene, saved by Murray
  70. P3 4:23Shot by Forsberg, saved by Murray
  71. P3 4:36Shot by Duchene, saved by Murray
  72. P3 4:37Malkin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Johnson, Letang, Hornqvist, Guentzel · NSH Weber, Duchene, Tinordi, Granlund, Forsberg

  73. P3 4:59Shot by Duchene, saved by Murray4v5
  74. P3 5:06Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Murray4v5
  75. P3 5:09Shot by Duchene, saved by Murray4v5
  76. P3 6:10Shot by Ekholm, saved by Murray4v5
  77. P3 6:13Shot by Johansen, saved by Murray4v5
  78. P3 6:29Shot by Ellis, saved by Murray4v5
  79. P3 8:07Shot by Blackwell, saved by Murray
  80. P3 8:49Shot by Josi, saved by Murray
  81. P3 8:56Goal by Granlund (Duchene, Josi)+29 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Letang, Galchenyuk, McCann, Kahun · NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Granlund, Forsberg

  82. P3 9:29Shot by Duchene, saved by Murray
  83. P3 11:01Shot by Duchene, saved by Murray
  84. P3 11:37Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Rinne
  85. P3 12:20Shot by Malkin, saved by Rinne
  86. P3 13:15Shot by Blueger, saved by Rinne
  87. P3 14:19Shot by Lafferty, saved by Rinne
  88. P3 15:20Shot by Marino, saved by Rinne
  89. P3 15:21Shot by Malkin, saved by Rinne
  90. P3 17:23Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Murray
  91. P3 17:31Shot by Josi, saved by Murray
  92. P3 18:05Shot by Ekholm, saved by Murray
  93. P3 18:34Watson: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Johnson, Letang, Hornqvist, Blueger, Simon · NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Watson, Grimaldi

  94. P3 18:57Goal by Guentzel (Malkin, Rust)5v4+47 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Rust, Guentzel · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok

  95. P3 19:22Goal by Rust, unassisted5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Johnson, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · NSH Josi, Duchene, Ellis, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  96. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  97. P3 0:00Final