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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 31, 2019·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Minnesota Wild 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.

MIN winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:26Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 2:03Shot by Engvall, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 5:28Shot by Hunt, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 5:55Goal by Kerfoot (Tavares, Dermott)+19 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Fiala · TOR Tavares, Ceci, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott

  7. P1 6:20Shot by Greenway, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 10:03Hyman: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  9. P1 10:17Shot by Hunt, saved by Andersen5v4
  10. P1 10:38Shot by Hunt, saved by Andersen5v4
  11. P1 10:56Shot by Dumba, saved by Andersen5v4
  12. P1 12:22Shot by Hyman, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 13:44Hartman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Foligno, Hunt, Dumba, Hartman · TOR Spezza, Rielly, Ceci, Kapanen, Engvall

  14. P1 16:19Timashov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Rask, Hunt, Dumba, Hartman · TOR Marincin, Holl, Engvall, Timashov, Brooks

  15. P1 16:24Shot by Parise, saved by Andersen5v4
  16. P1 16:34Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Andersen5v4
  17. P1 17:03Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  18. P1 18:28Shot by Timashov, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 19:29Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Barrie)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Brodin, Soucy, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk
  23. P2 2:00Shot by Engvall, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P2 2:31Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen
  25. P2 3:45Fiala: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Hunt, Dumba, Fiala · TOR Tavares, Marincin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander

  26. P2 4:09Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  27. P2 6:22Shot by Fiala, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 6:49Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk
  29. P2 6:59Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P2 7:01Donato: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Donato · TOR Tavares, Marincin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander

  31. P2 8:34Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Marner)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Brodin, Soucy, Hartman, Eriksson Ek · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  32. P2 9:02Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 10:18Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 10:48Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 10:50Shot by Suter, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 11:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk
  37. P2 11:24Dermott: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Soucy, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Kunin · TOR Hyman, Rielly, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  38. P2 11:46Goal by Suter (Fiala, Koivu)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Fiala · TOR Marincin, Hyman, Ceci, Marner

  39. P2 13:01Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 13:36Shot by Rask, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 13:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Dubnyk
  42. P2 13:50Shot by Kapanen, saved by Dubnyk
  43. P2 14:28Shot by Dumba, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 14:34Shot by Dumba, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 15:25Shot by Marincin, saved by Dubnyk
  46. P2 16:39Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 16:44Shot by Suter, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 16:53Shot by Kapanen, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P2 17:15Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P2 17:49Shot by Holl, saved by Dubnyk
  51. P2 17:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Dubnyk
  52. P2 18:36Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 19:27Shot by Donato, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:01Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P3 2:36Shot by Kapanen, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P3 6:58Shot by Parise, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 10:16Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 10:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 10:58Shot by Brodin, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 13:59Shot by Nylander, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 16:36Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 16:57Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 17:10Shot by Kapanen, saved by Dubnyk
  66. P3 19:30Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Andersen6v5
  67. P3 19:35Goal by Tavares, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Greenway, Kunin · TOR Tavares, Marincin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final