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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 2, 2020·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Chicago Blackhawks 5, Vancouver Canucks 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 70% of the time.

VAN winsCHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 2:28Shot by Roussel, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 3:02Strome: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Myers, Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes · CHI Maatta, Strome, Gilbert, DeBrincat, Dach

  5. P1 4:17Shot by Virtanen, saved by Lehner5v4
  6. P1 4:23Shot by Hughes, saved by Lehner5v4
  7. P1 5:04Goal by Miller (Horvat, Pettersson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Horvat, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes · CHI Maatta, Carpenter, Strome, Gilbert, DeBrincat

  8. P1 6:08Horvat: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Eriksson, Edler, Pearson, Horvat, Stecher · CHI Toews, Kane, Murphy, Gustafsson, Kubalik

  9. P1 7:33Shot by Kubalik, saved by Markstrom4v5
  10. P1 8:23Shot by Kampf, saved by Markstrom
  11. P1 9:20Shot by Kubalik, saved by Markstrom
  12. P1 9:45Shot by Quenneville, saved by Markstrom
  13. P1 9:46Shot by Quenneville, saved by Markstrom
  14. P1 10:04Shot by Carpenter, saved by Markstrom
  15. P1 10:21Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 13:11Shot by Horvat, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 14:00Goal by Murphy (Kubalik, Toews)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Beagle, Myers, Schaller, Boeser, Fantenberg · CHI Toews, Murphy, Gustafsson, Kubalik, Quenneville

  18. P1 16:35Shot by Gilbert, saved by Markstrom
  19. P1 16:51Shot by Horvat, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 18:14Shot by Kane, saved by Markstrom
  21. P1 19:05Myers: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Myers, Roussel, Virtanen, Gaudette, Fantenberg · CHI Murphy, Gustafsson, Strome, DeBrincat, Dach

  22. P1 19:34Shot by Boqvist, saved by Markstrom4v5
  23. P1 19:58Shot by Strome, saved by Markstrom4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:30Shot by Murphy, saved by Markstrom
  27. P2 1:53Shot by Murphy, saved by Markstrom
  28. P2 2:22Shot by Kane, saved by Markstrom
  29. P2 2:36Shot by Miller, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 2:48Goal by Pearson (Edler, Virtanen)+17 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Edler, Myers, Pearson, Horvat, Virtanen · CHI Toews, Gustafsson, Kubalik, Quenneville, Gilbert

  31. P2 4:15Goal by Kampf (Smith, Gustafsson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Roussel, Virtanen, Gaudette, Fantenberg · CHI Smith, Murphy, Gustafsson, Highmore, Kampf

  32. P2 4:39Shot by Carpenter, saved by Markstrom
  33. P2 6:00Gaudette: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Edler, Roussel, Virtanen, Gaudette, Stecher · CHI Keith, Strome, DeBrincat, Boqvist, Dach

  34. P2 6:19Shot by Strome, saved by Markstrom4v5
  35. P2 6:25Goal by Kane (Boqvist)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Edler, Beagle, Tanev, Schaller · CHI Toews, Kane, Strome, DeBrincat, Boqvist

  36. P2 6:53Shot by Boeser, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 7:57Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 8:17Goal by Toews (Kubalik, Maatta)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Edler, Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes · CHI Toews, Maatta, Kubalik, Quenneville, Gilbert

  39. P2 9:11Smith: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Eriksson, Edler, Pearson, Horvat, Hughes · CHI Smith, Murphy, Gustafsson, Highmore, Kampf

  40. P2 9:34Shot by Miller, saved by Lehner5v4
  41. P2 10:20Goal by Hughes (Miller, Pettersson)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Miller, Horvat, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes · CHI Maatta, Highmore, Gilbert, Kampf

  42. P2 11:45Goal by Pettersson (Boeser, Miller)+24 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Myers, Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes · CHI Murphy, Gustafsson, Carpenter, Strome, DeBrincat

  43. P2 11:55Shot by Edler, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 12:04Shot by Edler, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 13:09Shot by Dach, saved by Markstrom
  46. P2 13:49Shot by Roussel, saved by Lehner
  47. P2 13:53Shot by Edler, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 14:02Shot by Kane, saved by Markstrom
  49. P2 14:23Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lehner
  50. P2 14:35Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Markstrom
  51. P2 14:37Gustafsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Edler, Beagle, Pearson, Motte, Stecher · CHI Toews, Kane, Gustafsson, Kubalik, Boqvist

  52. P2 14:37Stecher: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VAN Edler, Beagle, Pearson, Motte, Stecher · CHI Toews, Kane, Gustafsson, Kubalik, Boqvist

  53. P2 15:18Shot by Hughes, saved by Lehner4v4
  54. P2 15:44Shot by Boeser, saved by Lehner4v4
  55. P2 15:54Shot by Murphy, saved by Markstrom4v4
  56. P2 16:26Shot by Horvat, saved by Lehner4v4
  57. P2 16:57Shot by Boeser, saved by Lehner
  58. P2 17:07Shot by Kampf, saved by Markstrom
  59. P2 19:41Shot by Hughes, saved by Lehner
  60. P2 19:43Shot by Horvat, saved by Lehner
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 0:50Shot by Boeser, saved by Lehner
  64. P3 3:45Shot by Boeser, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 4:03Shot by Quenneville, saved by Markstrom
  66. P3 4:39Shot by Horvat, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 5:00Shot by Carpenter, saved by Markstrom
  68. P3 5:19Shot by Kane, saved by Markstrom
  69. P3 5:24Shot by Maatta, saved by Markstrom
  70. P3 5:29Shot by Carpenter, saved by Markstrom
  71. P3 6:33Shot by Roussel, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 8:09Shot by Horvat, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 8:10Goal by Horvat (Edler, Pearson)+29 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Eriksson, Edler, Tanev, Pearson, Horvat · CHI Toews, Maatta, Kubalik, Quenneville, Gilbert

  74. P3 10:15Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Markstrom
  75. P3 11:18Shot by Horvat, saved by Lehner
  76. P3 13:44Goal by Kane (Kubalik, Keith)+35 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Tanev, Miller, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes · CHI Keith, Toews, Kane, Murphy, Kubalik

  77. P3 14:56Shot by Pearson, saved by Lehner
  78. P3 15:49Goal by Gaudette (Miller)+39 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Edler, Miller, Boeser, Gaudette, Stecher · CHI Keith, Smith, Carpenter, Kampf, Boqvist

  79. P3 17:19Motte: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VAN Beagle, Myers, Roussel, Motte, Fantenberg · CHI Kane, Maatta, Gustafsson, Strome, DeBrincat, Dach

  80. P3 17:29Shot by Edler, saved by Lehner4v5
  81. P3 18:22Shot by Miller, saved by Lehner4v5
  82. P3 19:21Shot by Keith, saved by Markstrom5v6
  83. P3 19:51Goal by Horvat (Pearson)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: VAN Edler, Beagle, Tanev, Pearson, Horvat · CHI Toews, Kane, Gustafsson, Carpenter, Strome, Boqvist

  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final