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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 3, 2020·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Washington Capitals 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Away

Washington Capitals

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 66% of the time.

CAR winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov5v4
  3. P1 0:41Shot by Pesce, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 1:09Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 1:13Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mrazek6v5
  6. P1 1:50Shot by Hathaway, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 3:26Shot by Vrana, saved by Mrazek4v5
  8. P1 5:11Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mrazek3v5
  9. P1 5:35Shot by Haula, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 6:36Shot by Wilson, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 6:46Shot by Staal, saved by Samsonov
  12. P1 7:14Siegenthaler: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Gardiner, Niederreiter, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho · WSH Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Vrana, Siegenthaler

  13. P1 9:59Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 10:46Shot by Fleury, saved by Samsonov
  15. P1 10:51Shot by Fleury, saved by Samsonov
  16. P1 10:55Shot by Fleury, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 11:26Samsonov: Embellishment (2 min)3v5

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Edmundson, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho · WSH Oshie, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Vrana, Kempny

  18. P1 11:26Niederreiter: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Edmundson, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho · WSH Oshie, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Vrana, Kempny

  19. P1 12:16Eller: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hamilton, Teravainen, Slavin, Aho · WSH Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Kempny

  20. P1 12:26Shot by Aho, saved by Samsonov
  21. P1 13:11Shot by Hamilton, saved by Samsonov
  22. P1 13:19Shot by Gardiner, saved by Samsonov4v3
  23. P1 13:22Shot by Gardiner, saved by Samsonov4v3
  24. P1 15:05Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov5v4
  25. P1 16:33Shot by Hathaway, saved by Mrazek
  26. P1 16:40Shot by Pesce, saved by Samsonov5v4
  27. P1 18:12Shot by Fleury, saved by Samsonov
  28. P1 18:16Shot by Dzingel, saved by Samsonov
  29. P1 18:49Shot by Necas, saved by Samsonov
  30. P1 19:08Shot by Slavin, saved by Samsonov
  31. P1 0:00Dowd: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele, Svechnikov · WSH Carlson, Orlov, Dowd, Leipsic, Hathaway

  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:18Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek
  35. P2 0:48Shot by Gardiner, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 1:38Shot by Vrana, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 2:42Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Samsonov
  38. P2 2:48Shot by McGinn, saved by Samsonov
  39. P2 2:58Goal by Panik (Eller)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gardiner, Martinook, McGinn, Pesce, Wallmark · WSH Hagelin, Eller, Carlson, Panik, Kempny

  40. P2 4:17Aho: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Niederreiter, Hamilton, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho · WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Wilson

  41. P2 4:42Shot by Hamilton, saved by Samsonov4v5
  42. P2 5:07Goal by Kuznetsov (Carlson, Backstrom)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Hamilton, Slavin, Foegele · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov

  43. P2 5:34Shot by Eller, saved by Mrazek4v5
  44. P2 8:11Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Mrazek5v4
  45. P2 8:12Ovechkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Gardiner, Teravainen, Pesce, Svechnikov · WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Orlov, Wilson

  46. P2 9:31Shot by Jensen, saved by Mrazek5v4
  47. P2 9:52Shot by Hamilton, saved by Samsonov
  48. P2 10:26Shot by Gudas, saved by Mrazek
  49. P2 10:39Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Samsonov
  50. P2 11:27Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Mrazek
  51. P2 11:30Shot by Vrana, saved by Mrazek
  52. P2 11:33Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek
  53. P2 12:29Shot by Panik, saved by Mrazek
  54. P2 12:51Shot by Leipsic, saved by Mrazek
  55. P2 13:43Aho: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Staal, Gardiner, Pesce, Foegele, Svechnikov · WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Kempny

  56. P2 16:18Wilson: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Haula, Dzingel, Hamilton, Slavin, Necas · WSH Eller, Orlov, Gudas, Wilson, Vrana

  57. P2 16:27Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Samsonov
  58. P2 18:23Shot by Jensen, saved by Mrazek
  59. P2 19:23Shot by Pesce, saved by Samsonov
  60. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:15Shot by Hamilton, saved by Samsonov
  63. P3 0:39Goal by Staal (Pesce, Svechnikov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele, Svechnikov · WSH Ovechkin, Eller, Carlson, Wilson, Kempny

  64. P3 0:53Haula: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Gardiner, Haula, Dzingel, Pesce, Necas · WSH Hagelin, Eller, Orlov, Panik, Jensen

  65. P3 2:22Shot by Eller, saved by Mrazek4v5
  66. P3 2:29Goal by Eller (Ovechkin, Orlov)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Edmundson, McGinn, Pesce · WSH Ovechkin, Eller, Orlov, Wilson, Vrana

  67. P3 3:56Shot by Orlov, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 4:51Goal by Vrana (Kuznetsov, Oshie)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Edmundson, Hamilton, Foegele, Svechnikov · WSH Oshie, Carlson, Kuznetsov, Vrana, Kempny

  69. P3 5:18Shot by Teravainen, saved by Samsonov
  70. P3 6:05Shot by Wallmark, saved by Samsonov
  71. P3 6:27Hagelin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Edmundson, Martinook, McGinn, Fleury, Wallmark · WSH Hagelin, Eller, Panik, Gudas, Siegenthaler

  72. P3 6:33Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Samsonov
  73. P3 6:35Goal by Teravainen (Aho, Svechnikov)+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Haula, Hamilton, Teravainen, Aho, Svechnikov · WSH Dowd, Gudas, Wilson, Siegenthaler

  74. P3 7:07Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Samsonov
  75. P3 8:41Shot by Haula, saved by Samsonov
  76. P3 8:57Shot by Hathaway, saved by Mrazek
  77. P3 9:09Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Mrazek
  78. P3 9:24Shot by Martinook, saved by Samsonov
  79. P3 10:58Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov
  80. P3 10:59Oshie: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Edmundson, Fleury, Foegele, Aho, Svechnikov · WSH Oshie, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Vrana

  81. P3 12:35Goal by Dzingel (Necas, Gardiner)+11 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gardiner, Niederreiter, Dzingel, Wallmark, Necas · WSH Gudas, Wilson, Hathaway, Siegenthaler

  82. P3 13:14Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek
  83. P3 14:55Shot by Carlson, saved by Mrazek
  84. P3 15:04Shot by Wallmark, saved by Samsonov
  85. P3 15:05Shot by Wallmark, saved by Samsonov
  86. P3 17:06Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov
  87. P3 17:16Hamilton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Haula, Dzingel, Hamilton, Slavin, Necas · WSH Ovechkin, Oshie, Backstrom, Carlson, Kempny

  88. P3 19:32Shot by Gardiner, saved by Samsonov
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final