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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 12, 2020·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Florida Panthers 8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.

FLA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Stralman, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:25Shot by Barkov, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 0:47Shot by Tavares, saved by Driedger
  5. P1 1:10Shot by Nylander, saved by Driedger
  6. P1 1:11Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Driedger
  7. P1 1:39Shot by Connolly, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 1:49Goal by Brown (Connolly, Trocheck)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Connolly, Trocheck, Brown, Acciari · TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Kapanen, Dermott

  9. P1 2:17Shot by Brown, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 2:39Shot by Kapanen, saved by Driedger
  11. P1 3:47Goal by Barkov (Pysyk, Sceviour)+13 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Stralman, Sceviour, Pysyk, Barkov, Stillman · TOR Spezza, Barrie, Rielly, Gauthier, Brooks

  12. P1 4:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Driedger
  13. P1 4:17Shot by Holl, saved by Driedger
  14. P1 5:28Shot by Connolly, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 7:24Shot by Nylander, saved by Driedger
  16. P1 7:42Shot by Nylander, saved by Driedger
  17. P1 11:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Driedger
  18. P1 12:50Shot by Brown, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 13:39Goal by Hoffman (Toninato, Vatrano)+9 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Hoffman, Matheson, Toninato, Ekblad, Vatrano · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Marincin, Kerfoot, Nylander

  20. P1 13:57Shot by Boyle, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 14:09Shot by Marner, saved by Driedger
  22. P1 15:49Shot by Marincin, saved by Driedger
  23. P1 16:06Acciari: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Connolly, Trocheck, Brown, Acciari · TOR Spezza, Marincin, Ceci, Gauthier, Brooks

  24. P1 16:19Shot by Nylander, saved by Driedger4v5
  25. P1 17:03Shot by Tavares, saved by Driedger4v5
  26. P1 18:30Shot by Matheson, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 19:59Shot by Tavares, saved by Driedger
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:49Goal by Matheson (Trocheck, Connolly)+4 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Acciari · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  31. P2 1:29Hoffman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Hoffman, Matheson, Toninato, Ekblad, Vatrano · TOR Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott

  32. P2 2:25Goal by Vatrano (Barkov)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Matheson, Barkov, Ekblad, Vatrano · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  33. P2 3:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Driedger4v5
  34. P2 3:30Goal by Hyman (Rielly, Kapanen)+2 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Hoffman, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano · TOR Spezza, Hyman, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kapanen

  35. P2 3:55Shot by Johnsson, saved by Driedger
  36. P2 5:06Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Driedger
  37. P2 5:46Goal by Trocheck, unassisted+2 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Stralman, Connolly, Trocheck, Acciari, Stillman · TOR Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott

  38. P2 6:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Driedger
  39. P2 8:46Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Hutchinson
  40. P2 11:12Shot by Kapanen, saved by Driedger
  41. P2 11:19Shot by Johnsson, saved by Driedger
  42. P2 11:38Shot by Pysyk, saved by Hutchinson
  43. P2 11:43Shot by Brown, saved by Hutchinson
  44. P2 12:19Shot by Barkov, saved by Hutchinson
  45. P2 12:37Goal by Huberdeau (Barkov, Stillman)+1 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Stralman, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Stillman · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Kerfoot, Nylander

  46. P2 13:00Goal by Marner (Hyman, Barrie)+1 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Acciari · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  47. P2 15:26Goal by Tavares (Nylander, Kerfoot)+1 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Dadonov, Huberdeau, Matheson, Barkov, Ekblad · TOR Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott

  48. P2 16:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Driedger
  49. P2 16:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Driedger
  50. P2 16:32Shot by Holl, saved by Driedger
  51. P2 16:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Driedger
  52. P2 16:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Driedger
  53. P2 17:10Shot by Dadonov, saved by Hutchinson
  54. P2 17:40Shot by Marner, saved by Driedger
  55. P2 18:04Shot by Matthews, saved by Driedger
  56. P2 18:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Driedger
  57. P2 19:43Shot by Trocheck, saved by Hutchinson
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:34Goal by Marner (Hyman)+2 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Stralman, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Stillman · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  61. P3 2:06Ceci: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: FLA Hoffman, Toninato, Brown, Barkov, Ekblad, Vatrano · TOR Marincin, Hyman, Ceci, Marner, Matthews

  62. P3 2:17Shot by Hoffman, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  63. P3 3:55Shot by Trocheck, saved by Hutchinson5v4
  64. P3 3:58Shot by Dermott, saved by Driedger5v4
  65. P3 4:10Holl: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Sceviour, Trocheck, Matheson, Toninato, Ekblad · TOR Marincin, Holl, Ceci, Nylander, Matthews

  66. P3 4:33Goal by Hoffman (Huberdeau, Dadonov)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov · TOR Marincin, Hyman, Ceci, Marner

  67. P3 7:37Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Hutchinson
  68. P3 7:58Shot by Ceci, saved by Driedger
  69. P3 9:50Shot by Nylander, saved by Driedger
  70. P3 10:54Shot by Vatrano, saved by Hutchinson
  71. P3 11:36Shot by Pysyk, saved by Hutchinson
  72. P3 13:09Shot by Marner, saved by Driedger
  73. P3 13:10Shot by Ceci, saved by Driedger
  74. P3 13:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Driedger
  75. P3 13:29Shot by Connolly, saved by Hutchinson
  76. P3 13:53Shot by Tavares, saved by Driedger
  77. P3 14:45Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Driedger
  78. P3 15:25Shot by Dermott, saved by Driedger
  79. P3 15:36Ceci: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: FLA Stralman, Hoffman, Vatrano, Acciari, Stillman · TOR Spezza, Marincin, Ceci, Gauthier, Brooks

  80. P3 15:36Shot by Vatrano, saved by Hutchinsonother
  81. P3 16:20Shot by Barrie, saved by Driedger
  82. P3 16:24Shot by Nylander, saved by Driedger
  83. P3 16:44Shot by Tavares, saved by Driedger
  84. P3 17:52Shot by Spezza, saved by Driedger
  85. P3 18:40Connolly: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, Acciari · TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott

  86. P3 18:59Shot by Hyman, saved by Driedger4v5
  87. P3 19:08Shot by Rielly, saved by Driedger4v5
  88. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  89. P3 0:00Final