Tue, Jan 14, 2020·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New Jersey Devils 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:11Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen
- P1 0:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Domingue
- P1 2:11Shot by Butcher, saved by Andersen
- P1 3:46Shot by Holl, saved by Domingue
- P1 4:10Shot by Marner, saved by Domingue
- P1 4:47Shot by Coleman, saved by Andersen
- P1 5:18Goal by Tavares (Sandin, Nylander)4v5+14 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Engvall, Sandin · NJD Zajac, Vatanen, Coleman, Severson, Gusev
- P1 5:52Shot by Marner, saved by Domingue4v5
- P1 7:28Shot by Johnsson, saved by Domingue4v5
- P1 9:10Goal by Gauthier, unassisted+14 pts WP
On ice: TOR Spezza, Ceci, Gauthier, Timashov, Sandin · NJD Zajac, Coleman, Carrick, Gusev, Butcher
- P1 9:27Engvall: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Marincin, Nylander, Engvall · NJD Greene, Subban, Simmonds, Wood, Hughes
- P1 9:58Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen
- P1 11:59Shot by Wood, saved by Andersen
- P1 12:07Shot by Wood, saved by Andersen
- P1 12:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Domingue
- P1 12:45Shot by Nylander, saved by Domingue
- P1 12:47Shot by Engvall, saved by Domingue
- P1 12:47Carrick: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Engvall, Matthews, Sandin · NJD Zajac, Greene, Coleman, Carrick, Wood
- P1 14:22Shot by Johnsson, saved by Domingue
- P1 14:42Shot by Kapanen, saved by Domingue
- P1 14:48Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen
- P1 17:23Shot by Barrie, saved by Domingue
- P1 18:24Subban: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TOR Spezza, Holl, Ceci, Kerfoot, Timashov · NJD Subban, Coleman, Carrick, Zacha, Hischier
- P1 18:50Shot by Barrie, saved by Domingue
- P1 19:27Shot by Sandin, saved by Domingue5v4
- P1 19:56Goal by Hyman (Sandin, Spezza)+7 pts WP
On ice: TOR Spezza, Hyman, Johnsson, Kapanen, Sandin · NJD Greene, Vatanen, Zacha, Rooney
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 2:12Goal by Nylander (Engvall, Tavares)+4 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Marincin, Nylander, Engvall · NJD Greene, Subban, Simmonds, Wood, Hughes
- P2 2:22Shot by Boqvist, saved by Andersen
- P2 4:15Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Domingue
- P2 4:38Kerfoot: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TOR Barrie, Marincin, Kerfoot, Johnsson, Kapanen · NJD Zajac, Greene, Subban, Coleman, Gusev
- P2 4:43Shot by Bratt, saved by Andersen
- P2 5:26Shot by Gusev, saved by Andersen
- P2 6:56Goal by Coleman (Wood, Butcher)+4 pts WP
On ice: TOR Spezza, Holl, Gauthier, Dermott, Timashov · NJD Zajac, Greene, Coleman, Carrick, Wood
- P2 9:34Coleman: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TOR Holl, Ceci, Kerfoot, Johnsson, Kapanen · NJD Zajac, Simmonds, Coleman, Carrick, Butcher
- P2 10:39Goal by Matthews (Marner, Tavares)5v4+4 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · NJD Greene, Subban, Zacha, Hischier
- P2 12:27Shot by Hayden, saved by Andersen
- P2 13:07Shot by Wood, saved by Andersen
- P2 13:08Wood: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Marincin, Nylander, Engvall · NJD Zajac, Greene, Gusev, Butcher, Wood
- P2 13:08Engvall: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Marincin, Nylander, Engvall · NJD Zajac, Greene, Gusev, Butcher, Wood
- P2 14:16Shot by Zacha, saved by Andersen
- P2 15:02Zajac: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Dermott · NJD Zajac, Subban, Gusev, Butcher
- P2 15:40Shot by Barrie, saved by Schneider5v4
- P2 15:55Shot by Rooney, saved by Andersen
- P2 16:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Schneider
- P2 16:57Shot by Hyman, saved by Schneider
- P2 17:08Shot by Zajac, saved by Andersen
- P2 17:34Shot by Butcher, saved by Andersen
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:07Shot by Johnsson, saved by Schneider
- P3 1:19Shot by Coleman, saved by Andersen
- P3 1:26Shot by Coleman, saved by Andersen
- P3 1:47Shot by Nylander, saved by Schneider
- P3 2:07Shot by Barrie, saved by Schneider
- P3 2:29Shot by Dermott, saved by Schneider
- P3 2:43Shot by Zacha, saved by Andersen
- P3 3:58Goal by Matthews (Marner, Hyman)+1 pts WP
On ice: TOR Barrie, Marincin, Hyman, Marner, Matthews · NJD Vatanen, Severson, Bratt, Hischier, Boqvist
- P3 4:24Shot by Kapanen, saved by Schneider
- P3 5:21Shot by Nylander, saved by Schneider4v4
- P3 8:07Shot by Subban, saved by Andersen
- P3 10:20Shot by Dermott, saved by Schneider
- P3 11:53Shot by Barrie, saved by Schneider5v6
- P3 12:00Goal by Coleman (Gusev, Carrick)0 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Marincin, Nylander, Engvall · NJD Zajac, Coleman, Carrick, Gusev, Butcher
- P3 12:40Shot by Butcher, saved by Andersen
- P3 13:32Shot by Sandin, saved by Schneider
- P3 15:22Shot by Zajac, saved by Andersen
- P3 15:35Goal by Coleman (Butcher, Zajac)0 pts WP
On ice: TOR Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Engvall, Dermott · NJD Zajac, Coleman, Carrick, Gusev, Butcher
- P3 15:55Ceci: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TOR Spezza, Ceci, Gauthier, Timashov, Sandin · NJD Simmonds, Carrick, Butcher, Wood, Zacha
- P3 16:17Shot by Marincin, saved by Schneider4v5
- P3 17:40Marincin: Hooking (2 min)4v6
On ice: TOR Marincin, Kerfoot, Johnsson, Dermott · NJD Subban, Simmonds, Severson, Zacha, Bratt, Hischier
- P3 17:54Shot by Subban, saved by Andersenother
- P3 18:02Goal by Subban (Bratt, Simmonds)4v60 pts WP
On ice: TOR Holl, Ceci, Dermott, Marner · NJD Subban, Simmonds, Severson, Gusev, Bratt, Hischier
- P3 18:19Shot by Hischier, saved by Andersen
- P3 18:40Goal by Matthews, unassisted5v60 pts WP
On ice: TOR Marincin, Hyman, Ceci, Marner, Matthews · NJD Simmonds, Vatanen, Coleman, Severson, Bratt, Hischier
- P3 18:51Shot by Rooney, saved by Andersen
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final