Tue, Jan 14, 2020·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Boston Bruins 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 07 | 014 | 013 | 034 |
| CBJ | 19 | 013 | 25 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:27CBJAlexander WennbergGWGAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Nathan Gerbe · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
- P3 5:46CBJKevin StenlundPPAssists: Nick Foligno, Emil Bemstrom · Slap, 0.06 xG0–2
- P3 13:05CBJRiley NashUnassisted · Snap, 0.07 xG0–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:53CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:59BOSCharlie McAvoy: Holding2 min
- P2 9:36CBJVladislav Gavrikov: Holding2 min
- P2 12:35BOSJoakim Nordstrom: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 12:35CBJPierre-Luc Dubois: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:34CBJSonny Milano: Slashing2 min
- P3 4:41BOSBrad Marchand: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:49CBJEric Robinson: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jenner won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Ritchie – Heinen8:40
xG 0.79–0.12 (86%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Krejci – Bjork – DeBrusk10:23
xG 0.40–0.28 (59%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Pastrnak9:47
xG 0.28–0.26 (53%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Wagner – Nordstrom – Kuraly6:59
xG 0.01–0.40 (2%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKrug – McAvoy5:31
xG 0.46–0.18 (73%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Chara – McAvoy8:37
xG 0.45–0.25 (65%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Kampfer – Moore9:18
xG 0.34–0.19 (64%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestGerbe – Wennberg – Stenlund7:18
xG 0.34–0.13 (73%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Foligno – Nyquist – Jenner9:57
xG 0.66–0.56 (54%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Milano – Dubois – Bemstrom8:33
xG 0.25–0.26 (49%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
- Nash – Robinson – Lilja8:40
xG 0.34–0.66 (34%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- Savard – Gavrikov15:37
xG 0.33–0.50 (40%)attempts 7–15goals 1–0
- Harrington – Nutivaara9:34
xG 0.43–0.75 (36%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
- Jones – Werenski18:05
xG 0.38–0.73 (35%)attempts 13–18goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).