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Ice Lab

Centre · #82

Kevin Stenlund

Columbus Blue Jackets Winnipeg Jets Florida Panthers Utah Mammoth(traded during the season)
Age
30
Shoots
Right
Height
191 cm
Weight
97 kg
Born
Stockholm, SWE
Draft
2015, round 2, #58 (CBJ)

Career · 2018–19 to 2026–27

Games
373
Goals
46
Points
91
TOI per game
13:19
xGF% (5v5)
48.2%
Goals above expected
−2.4
ShowAll teamsColumbus Blue JacketsWinnipeg JetsFlorida PanthersUtah Mammoth

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2018–19CBJ4000010:5830.0%00.262.0%
2019–20CBJ326410+213:595710.5%55.149.4%
2020–21CBJ325510−412:324211.9%14.646.3%
2021–22CBJ300007:3230.0%00.243.2%
2022–23WPG54639+311:39639.5%08.249.3%
2023–24FLA8111415−1012:368113.6%09.446.3%
2024–25UTA82141428−614:2110213.7%011.751.3%
2025–26UTA8041418−914:29666.1%08.645.6%
2026–27UTA5011013:4140.0%00.348.3%
Total4 teams373464591−2413:1942110.9%648.448.2%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.850100150200250300350
10m12m14m16m50100150200250300350Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2018–19 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

4th line

20th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

4th line
  • Goals /600.5633rd pct
  • Assists /600.5416th pct
  • ixG /600.5922nd pct
  • Goals above expected−2.441st pct

Play-driving

4th line
  • xGF% (5v5)48.2%43rd pct
  • CF% (5v5)48.6%49th pct
  • Relative xGF%−6.111th pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.2416th pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game13:1951st pct
  • PP time share9.4%37th pct
  • Offensive zone starts31.6%10th pct
  • Quality of competition23.6%31st pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Radek FaksaDAL/STL0.94
  2. Brad RichardsonNSH0.91
  3. Melker KarlssonSJS0.89
  4. Nicholas Shore0.89
  5. Marcus Kruger0.89
  6. Colton SissonsNSH/VGK0.89

Faceoffs

How often Stenlund wins the draw over 2018–19 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1551+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

53.9%

2140–1833 · #41 of 195 regulars, 79th percentile

Against an average centre

54.1%

Opponents won 50.3% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.7% against them.

Wins above average

+164

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

11.1

3,973 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

50%612 · +0.643%189 · +1.450%644 · +2.057%89 · +1.155%108 · +0.154%106 · +0.963%129 · +0.251%359 · +2.457%1737 · +1.7Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone48.3% 402–431
  • Neutral zone53.4% 557–487
  • Defensive zone56.3% 1181–915

By strength

  • Even strength55.2% 1589–1291
  • Power play51.7% 61–57
  • Shorthanded50.3% 490–485

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +5 after a win, −23 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.4 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2018–19650.0%48.6%
2019–2012940.3%40.7%
2020–2121847.2%48.1%
2021–221100.0%93.8%
2022–2352653.2%52.9%
2023–2483551.4%51.9%
2024–25105459.1%59.0%
2025–26114154.2%54.6%
2026–276349.2%50.6%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−2.4 goals above expected

0102030405050100150200250300350Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−500+50+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed31.3 km/h3rd pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph00th pct
  • Hardest shot134.9 km/h82nd pct
  • Distance skated14 km66th pct
  • Offensive-zone time36.9%12th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

34.7 km/h11th pct

▼ −0.1 km/h since 2024–25

303234363821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 32.5 km/h, 0th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 35.6 km/h, 37th percentile (54 games)2023–24: 34.7 km/h, 11th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 34.8 km/h, 12th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 34.7 km/h, 11th percentile (80 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

1.35th pct

▼ −0.7 since 2024–25

024681021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 2.7, 16th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 4.9, 50th percentile (54 games)2023–24: 2.3, 14th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 2.1, 9th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 1.3, 5th percentile (80 games)

Distance skated per 60

14.7 km12th pct

▼ −0.7 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 15.4 km, 40th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 15.9 km, 77th percentile (54 games)2023–24: 15.6 km, 54th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 15.5 km, 38th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 14.7 km, 12th percentile (80 games)

Hardest shot

145.8 km/h83rd pct

▲ +4.6 km/h since 2024–25

11012013014015016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 114.7 km/h, 0th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 149.5 km/h, 78th percentile (54 games)2023–24: 146.9 km/h, 72nd percentile (81 games)2024–25: 141.3 km/h, 56th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 145.8 km/h, 83rd percentile (80 games)

Offensive-zone time

37.4%4th pct

▲ +0.6 points since 2024–25

25%30%35%40%45%50%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 30.8%, 0th percentile (3 games, too few to rank reliably)2022–23: 39.8%, 23rd percentile (54 games)2023–24: 40.0%, 28th percentile (81 games)2024–25: 36.7%, 2nd percentile (82 games)2025–26: 37.4%, 4th percentile (80 games)