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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 16, 2020·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Minnesota Wild 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 55% of the time.

MIN winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Sergachev, saved by Stalock
  3. P1 6:52Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Stalock
  4. P1 8:47Rutta: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Staal, Parise, Pateryn, Zuccarello, Soucy · TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Rutta

  5. P1 11:08Shot by Hartman, saved by McElhinney
  6. P1 11:18Shot by Foligno, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 11:37Shot by Sergachev, saved by Stalock
  8. P1 12:20Point: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Zucker · TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Rutta

  9. P1 13:06Shot by Fiala, saved by McElhinney5v4
  10. P1 13:59Shot by Parise, saved by McElhinney5v4
  11. P1 14:13Shot by Suter, saved by McElhinney5v4
  12. P1 14:17Goal by Parise (Staal, Spurgeon)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Zuccarello · TBL Hedman, Palat, Stephens, Rutta

  13. P1 14:55Shot by Soucy, saved by McElhinney
  14. P1 16:04Shot by Brodin, saved by McElhinney
  15. P1 17:30Shot by Stamkos, saved by Stalock
  16. P1 19:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Stalock
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:48Shot by Paquette, saved by Stalock
  20. P2 0:56Shot by Dumba, saved by McElhinney
  21. P2 1:43Shot by Sergachev, saved by Stalock
  22. P2 4:13Shot by Zucker, saved by McElhinney
  23. P2 4:28Shot by Kucherov, saved by Stalock
  24. P2 6:14Shot by Koivu, saved by McElhinney
  25. P2 6:59Shot by Gourde, saved by Stalock
  26. P2 7:42Goal by Kucherov (Sergachev, Palat)+18 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Parise, Zuccarello, Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson Ek · TBL Shattenkirk, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev

  27. P2 8:17Shot by Point, saved by Stalock
  28. P2 10:53Shot by Staal, saved by McElhinney
  29. P2 12:32Goal by Eriksson Ek (Kunin, Foligno)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Foligno, Eriksson Ek, Kunin · TBL Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Rutta

  30. P2 13:15Shot by Point, saved by Stalock
  31. P2 14:43Goal by Suter (Greenway)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Hartman, Greenway · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Cernak, Stephens

  32. P2 15:07Shot by Parise, saved by McElhinney
  33. P2 15:11Shot by Staal, saved by McElhinney
  34. P2 15:46Volkov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Pateryn, Zucker, Rask, Soucy, Fiala · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Paquette, Rutta, Volkov

  35. P2 17:12Shot by Fiala, saved by McElhinney5v4
  36. P2 17:16Shot by Fiala, saved by McElhinney5v4
  37. P2 17:21Shot by Brodin, saved by McElhinney5v4
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 1:24Koivu: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Hartman, Greenway · TBL Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Verhaeghe, Cirelli, Sergachev

  41. P3 2:54Shot by Sergachev, saved by Stalock4v5
  42. P3 2:56Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Stalock4v5
  43. P3 6:20Shot by McDonagh, saved by Stalock
  44. P3 6:51Shot by Hartman, saved by McElhinney
  45. P3 7:01Shot by Greenway, saved by McElhinney
  46. P3 7:22Shot by Dumba, saved by McElhinney
  47. P3 7:43Dumba: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Zucker, Rask, Brodin, Dumba, Fiala · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli

  48. P3 7:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Stalock4v5
  49. P3 9:23Shot by Sergachev, saved by Stalock4v5
  50. P3 9:32Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos, Cirelli)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Foligno, Eriksson Ek · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  51. P3 11:43Stamkos: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Hartman, Greenway · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli

  52. P3 12:28Shot by Zuccarello, saved by McElhinney5v4
  53. P3 14:56Shot by Point, saved by Stalock
  54. P3 19:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by Stalock5v6
  55. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  56. P3 0:00Final