Thu, Jan 16, 2020·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Minnesota Wild 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 55% of the time.
46%
9%
11%
34%
MIN winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:48 | 0.05 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:10 | 0.34 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:02 | 0.40 | 63.6% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.00 | 46.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:31 | 0.21 | 32.9% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.24 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:00 | 0.16 | 62.5% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.03 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.15 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 44.2% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.15 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.14 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.08 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.15 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:53 | 0.03 | 76.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.42 | −0.6 | 58:38 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:38 | 0.06 | 60.0% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:45 | 0.03 | 60.9% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.07 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.07 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.16 | 45.8% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.00 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.06 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.22 | 34.9% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.09 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.30 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.14 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.02 | 80.2% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.10 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.16 | 49.6% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.01 | 42.6% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.09 | 49.7% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:24 | 0.84 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 2.11 | +0.1 | 59:38 |