Thu, Jan 16, 2020·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Buffalo Sabres 4, Dallas Stars 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.
18%
8%
66%
DAL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 24:47 | 0.24 | 34.5% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:16 | 0.02 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:32 | 0.02 | 61.8% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:32 | 0.00 | 8.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.80 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.12 | 57.4% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.01 | 39.6% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.65 | 12.7% | +25.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:12 | 0.97 | 60.5% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.07 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.01 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.16 | 59.5% | +5.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:17 | 0.06 | 61.5% | +25.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.15 | 36.0% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.07 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.15 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.05 | 10.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.24 | +1.2 | 59:53 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 25:57 | 0.11 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:54 | 0.14 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.21 | 62.6% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 19:57 | 0.31 | 63.9% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:56 | 0.03 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.03 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.10 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.02 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.05 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.21 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.09 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.20 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:23 | 0.30 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.09 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.11 | 60.2% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.04 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.11 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:51 | 0.10 | 50.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 1.61 | −0.4 | 57:39 |