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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 20, 2020·Pepsi Center, Denver

Detroit Red Wings 3, Colorado Avalanche 6

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 83% of the time.

COL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:19Shot by Graves, saved by Howard
  3. P1 2:28Goal by Bertuzzi (Larkin)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Compher, Zadorov, Bellemare · DET Nemeth, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Zadina

  4. P1 2:59Shot by Jost, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:07Shot by Jost, saved by Howard
  6. P1 4:18Shot by Landeskog, saved by Howard
  7. P1 5:04Shot by Bellemare, saved by Howard
  8. P1 5:36Shot by Cole, saved by Howard
  9. P1 6:09Shot by Perlini, saved by Francouz
  10. P1 6:21Shot by Green, saved by Francouz
  11. P1 6:39Shot by Graves, saved by Howard
  12. P1 6:56Nemeth: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Kadri, Burakovsky, Nichushkin, Girard · DET Green, Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Erne

  13. P1 7:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard
  14. P1 8:59Shot by Compher, saved by Howard
  15. P1 9:06Nemeth: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Burakovsky, Compher, Nichushkin, Jost, Girard · DET Daley, Helm, Biega, Nemeth, Glendening

  16. P1 9:29Shot by Landeskog, saved by Howard
  17. P1 10:30Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard
  18. P1 11:03Shot by Biega, saved by Francouz
  19. P1 11:15Shot by Jost, saved by Howard
  20. P1 11:29Shot by Larkin, saved by Francouz
  21. P1 12:01Calvert: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Cole, Calvert, Nieto, Zadorov, Bellemare · DET Green, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Zadina

  22. P1 13:49Shot by Zadina, saved by Francouz
  23. P1 14:22Shot by Smith, saved by Francouz
  24. P1 14:23Shot by Smith, saved by Francouz
  25. P1 15:49Shot by Graves, saved by Howard4v5
  26. P1 16:07Shot by Glendening, saved by Francouz
  27. P1 16:07Shot by Glendening, saved by Francouz
  28. P1 17:33Bertuzzi: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Kadri, Burakovsky, Nichushkin, Girard, Makar · DET Abdelkader, Biega, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  29. P1 17:41Shot by Hronek, saved by Francouz
  30. P1 18:24Shot by Hronek, saved by Francouz
  31. P1 18:37Shot by Landeskog, saved by Howard
  32. P1 18:41Shot by Makar, saved by Howard
  33. P1 19:07Shot by Jost, saved by Howard
  34. P1 19:08Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Howard
  35. P1 19:08Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Howard
  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 1:02Goal by Kadri (Makar, Rantanen)+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar · DET Filppula, Abdelkader, Nemeth, Hronek

  39. P2 2:56Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Rantanen)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nieto, Graves, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar · DET Filppula, Daley, Biega, Fabbri, Smith

  40. P2 3:11Shot by Rantanen, saved by Howard
  41. P2 3:34Shot by Erne, saved by Francouz
  42. P2 4:17Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  43. P2 5:46Shot by Jost, saved by Howard
  44. P2 8:07Shot by Calvert, saved by Howard
  45. P2 8:19Shot by Zadorov, saved by Howard
  46. P2 9:33Shot by Fabbri, saved by Francouz
  47. P2 9:42Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Howard
  48. P2 10:15Shot by Perlini, saved by Francouz
  49. P2 10:56Shot by Zadorov, saved by Howard
  50. P2 12:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard
  51. P2 12:35Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard
  52. P2 14:38Shot by Perlini, saved by Francouz5v3
  53. P2 14:53Bowey: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nieto, Graves, Kamenev, Jost, Makar · DET Filppula, Biega, Bowey, Perlini, Fabbri

  54. P2 15:42Shot by Rantanen, saved by Howard5v4
  55. P2 16:47Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Howard5v4
  56. P2 17:12Shot by Girard, saved by Howard5v4
  57. P2 17:19Shot by Zadina, saved by Francouz5v4
  58. P2 17:24Shot by Hronek, saved by Francouz5v4
  59. P2 17:48Shot by Graves, saved by Howard5v4
  60. P2 18:08Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Francouz5v4
  61. P2 19:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard5v4
  62. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:41Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard5v4
  65. P3 0:53Shot by Girard, saved by Howard5v4
  66. P3 1:02Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Francouz5v4
  67. P3 2:05Shot by Girard, saved by Howard5v4
  68. P3 4:19Goal by Kadri (Burakovsky, Zadorov)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Kadri, Burakovsky, Nichushkin, Zadorov · DET Daley, Helm, Biega, Glendening, Erne

  69. P3 5:12Goal by Nieto (Jost, Graves)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nieto, Graves, Kamenev, Jost, Makar · DET Biega, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek, Zadina

  70. P3 5:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard5v4
  71. P3 6:22Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Howard4v4
  72. P3 7:02Goal by Larkin (Bertuzzi, Zadina)4v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Kadri, Burakovsky, Nichushkin, Zadorov · DET Nemeth, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Zadina

  73. P3 8:33Shot by Makar, saved by Howard5v4
  74. P3 10:22Shot by Larkin, saved by Francouz5v4
  75. P3 11:44Shot by Hronek, saved by Francouz5v4
  76. P3 13:59Goal by Graves (Burakovsky, Kadri)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kadri, Graves, Burakovsky, Nichushkin, Makar · DET Daley, Biega, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Zadina

  77. P3 16:36Shot by Calvert, saved by Howard5v4
  78. P3 17:34Shot by Biega, saved by Francouz5v4
  79. P3 17:57Goal by Smith (Fabbri, Larkin)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nieto, Graves, Kamenev, Jost, Girard · DET Nemeth, Larkin, Fabbri, Smith, Hronek

  80. P3 18:46Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Howard
  81. P3 19:00Goal by MacKinnon (Cole, Zadorov)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: COL Cole, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · DET Filppula, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina

  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final