Thu, Jan 30, 2020·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 3, Arizona Coyotes 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 112 | 08 | 116 | 11 | 337 |
| ARI | 012 | 213 | 03 | 00 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:37LAKAlex IafalloAssists: Ben Hutton, Dustin Brown · Slap, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 11:22ARINick SchmaltzAssists: Jason Demers, Carl Soderberg · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 19:04ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Taylor Hall, Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–2
- P3 17:06LAKAlex IafalloPPAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–2
- OT 0:24LAKAlex IafalloGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Sean Walker · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 12:48LAKJoakim Ryan: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:43ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P2 4:19ARIConor Garland: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:19LAKDustin Brown: Interference2 min
- P2 9:15LAKJeff Carter: Interference2 min
- P3 15:48ARIJakob Chychrun: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Stepan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestCarter – Toffoli – Kempe3:32
xG 0.26–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Lewis – Clifford – Amadio9:29
xG 0.18–0.07 (72%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Kempe – Wagner – Lizotte6:29
xG 0.33–0.23 (59%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
- Brown – Kopitar – Iafallo14:15
xG 0.49–0.55 (47%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHutton – Roy15:24
xG 0.66–0.41 (62%)attempts 20–10goals 1–0
- Forbort – Walker15:24
xG 0.69–0.58 (54%)attempts 18–16goals 0–0
- Martinez – Ryan18:02
xG 0.28–0.99 (22%)attempts 13–19goals 0–2
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestHall – Dvorak – Garland12:19
xG 0.89–0.21 (81%)attempts 13–9goals 1–0
- Hinostroza – Schmaltz – Crouse9:57
xG 0.39–0.45 (47%)attempts 9–15goals 0–1
- Kessel – Stepan – Keller13:28
xG 0.44–0.67 (39%)attempts 15–12goals 0–0
- Soderberg – Grabner – Fischer9:02
xG 0.06–0.37 (13%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Chychrun3:20
xG 0.51–0.01 (97%)attempts 5–1goals 2–0
- Goligoski – Hjalmarsson6:15
xG 0.52–0.03 (94%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Chychrun – Lyubushkin9:14
xG 0.48–0.30 (61%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).