Sat, Feb 1, 2020·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Chicago Blackhawks 3, Arizona Coyotes 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 111 | 116 | 013 | 04 | 2 | 344 |
| ARI | 012 | 213 | 013 | 04 | 0 | 242 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:08CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 4:36CHIBrandon SaadAssists: Patrick Kane, Kirby Dach · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–0
- P2 8:58ARIBrad RichardsonAssists: Carl Soderberg, Alex Goligoski · Wrist, 0.20 xG2–1
- P2 18:20ARIConor GarlandAssists: Taylor Hall, Jason Demers · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 2. ARI Nick Schmaltz stopped
- 3. CHI Patrick Kane scored
- 4. ARI Conor Garland stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:18CHIZack Smith: Hooking2 min
- P1 7:30ARIClayton Keller: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:36ARIChristian Fischer: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:37ARIJakob Chychrun: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:48CHIOlli Maatta: Holding2 min
- P3 10:03CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Schmaltz won the faceoff against Kampf
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Saad – Dach11:29
xG 0.55–0.40 (58%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
- Toews – Kubalik – Caggiula10:20
xG 0.45–0.49 (48%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- Strome – DeBrincat – Kampf8:36
xG 0.37–0.52 (41%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
- Smith – Carpenter – Nylander6:56
xG 0.34–0.67 (34%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Maatta2:45
xG 0.15–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Maatta – Koekkoek13:09
xG 0.57–0.49 (54%)attempts 18–10goals 2–1
- Keith – Boqvist10:58
xG 0.30–0.40 (43%)attempts 7–18goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Soderberg – Fischer9:45
xG 1.07–0.09 (92%)attempts 16–8goals 1–0
- Hall – Dvorak – Garland10:44
xG 0.62–0.37 (62%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
- Hinostroza – Schmaltz – Crouse8:13
xG 0.42–0.32 (57%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Kessel – Stepan – Keller9:00
xG 0.12–0.49 (20%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Oesterle13:55
xG 0.97–0.50 (66%)attempts 15–15goals 0–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun15:31
xG 0.93–0.54 (64%)attempts 16–11goals 1–0
- Hjalmarsson – Capobianco13:26
xG 0.28–0.54 (34%)attempts 15–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).