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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 2, 2020·Capital One Arena, Washington

Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

4

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.

WSH winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by McCann, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 0:35Ovechkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Backstrom, Hagelin, Carlson, Wilson, Kempny · PIT Crosby, Johnson, Letang, McCann, Simon

  4. P1 2:43Shot by Hathaway, saved by Murray
  5. P1 3:12Shot by Pettersson, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 4:09Johnson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Gudas, Leipsic, Hathaway, Siegenthaler · PIT Johnson, Letang, Galchenyuk, Lafferty, Angello

  7. P1 4:09Hathaway: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Dowd, Gudas, Leipsic, Hathaway, Siegenthaler · PIT Johnson, Letang, Galchenyuk, Lafferty, Angello

  8. P1 5:13Shot by Letang, saved by Samsonov4v4
  9. P1 5:24Shot by Schultz, saved by Samsonov4v4
  10. P1 5:42Marino: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Eller, Carlson, Kempny · PIT Blueger, Pettersson, Marino, Tanev

  11. P1 8:18Eller: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Orlov, Gudas, Leipsic, Hathaway · PIT Malkin, Johnson, Hornqvist, Schultz, Rust

  12. P1 8:33Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Samsonov4v5
  13. P1 8:59Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Murray4v5
  14. P1 9:37Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Samsonov4v5
  15. P1 9:51Shot by Crosby, saved by Samsonov4v5
  16. P1 10:38Goal by Eller (Panik)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Eller, Carlson, Panik, Kempny · PIT Schultz, Galchenyuk, McCann, Pettersson, Simon

  17. P1 11:08Shot by Tanev, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 11:46Goal by Lafferty (Galchenyuk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Gudas, Wilson, Siegenthaler · PIT Schultz, Galchenyuk, Ruhwedel, Lafferty, Angello

  19. P1 12:40Goal by Hornqvist (Marino, Malkin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Eller, Orlov, Panik, Jensen · PIT Malkin, Hornqvist, Rust, Pettersson, Marino

  20. P1 13:01Shot by Dowd, saved by Murray
  21. P1 13:32Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Murray
  22. P1 13:47Shot by Lafferty, saved by Samsonov
  23. P1 14:17Shot by Kuznetsov, saved by Murray
  24. P1 16:52Shot by Pettersson, saved by Samsonov
  25. P1 16:57Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Murray
  26. P1 17:05Simon: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Hagelin, Eller, Carlson, Kempny · PIT Crosby, McCann, Pettersson, Marino, Simon

  27. P1 18:29Shot by Wilson, saved by Murray5v4
  28. P1 19:17Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Murray
  29. P1 19:58Shot by Kempny, saved by Murray
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:31Shot by Wilson, saved by Murray
  33. P2 0:46Shot by McCann, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 1:14Shot by Pettersson, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 1:27Shot by Jensen, saved by Murray
  36. P2 1:57Shot by Oshie, saved by Murray
  37. P2 2:37Shot by Lafferty, saved by Samsonov
  38. P2 3:01Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Samsonov
  39. P2 3:03Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Samsonov
  40. P2 3:04Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 3:17Siegenthaler: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Gudas, Kuznetsov, Vrana, Siegenthaler · PIT Crosby, Letang, Galchenyuk, Ruhwedel, Lafferty, Angello

  42. P2 3:41Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Samsonov4v5
  43. P2 3:42Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Samsonov4v5
  44. P2 3:43Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Samsonov4v5
  45. P2 6:02Shot by Blueger, saved by Samsonov
  46. P2 6:41Shot by Vrana, saved by Murray
  47. P2 8:37Shot by Siegenthaler, saved by Murray
  48. P2 9:45Shot by Kempny, saved by Murray
  49. P2 11:18Shot by Hagelin, saved by Murray
  50. P2 11:34Shot by Kempny, saved by Murray
  51. P2 11:57Shot by Crosby, saved by Samsonov
  52. P2 11:59Goal by Simon (Crosby, McCann)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Kempny · PIT Crosby, Johnson, Letang, McCann, Simon

  53. P2 13:25Shot by Vrana, saved by Murray
  54. P2 13:27Crosby: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Gudas, Kuznetsov, Vrana, Siegenthaler · PIT Blueger, Ruhwedel, Pettersson, Tanev, Aston-Reese

  55. P2 14:39Shot by Rust, saved by Samsonov5v4
  56. P2 14:41Shot by Rust, saved by Samsonov5v4
  57. P2 14:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Samsonov5v4
  58. P2 15:43Leipsic: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Leipsic · PIT Crosby, Schultz, Ruhwedel, McCann, Simon

  59. P2 19:58Shot by McCann, saved by Samsonov
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:17Letang: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Kempny · PIT Crosby, Johnson, Letang, McCann, Simon

  63. P3 0:17Wilson: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Backstrom, Carlson, Wilson, Kempny · PIT Crosby, Johnson, Letang, McCann, Simon

  64. P3 1:32Shot by Orlov, saved by Murray4v4
  65. P3 1:54Orlov: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov · PIT Crosby, Johnson, Schultz, McCann

  66. P3 5:09Shot by Oshie, saved by Murray
  67. P3 5:18Shot by Orlov, saved by Murray
  68. P3 5:21Shot by Vrana, saved by Murray
  69. P3 6:00Goal by Kuznetsov (Vrana, Jensen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Orlov, Jensen, Kuznetsov, Vrana · PIT Malkin, Schultz, Rust, Marino, Simon

  70. P3 7:27Shot by Gudas, saved by Murray
  71. P3 9:10Shot by Carlson, saved by Murray
  72. P3 9:54Shot by Carlson, saved by Murray
  73. P3 10:11Shot by Tanev, saved by Samsonov
  74. P3 10:32Shot by Malkin, saved by Samsonov
  75. P3 10:41Hagelin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Eller, Orlov, Panik, Jensen · PIT Malkin, Hornqvist, Schultz, Rust, Ruhwedel

  76. P3 11:26Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Samsonov4v5
  77. P3 13:06Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Murray
  78. P3 13:25Shot by Simon, saved by Samsonov
  79. P3 13:42Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Murray
  80. P3 13:48Shot by Carlson, saved by Murray
  81. P3 17:27Goal by Tanev (Blueger, Aston-Reese)+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orlov, Gudas, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Vrana · PIT Blueger, Pettersson, Marino, Tanev, Aston-Reese

  82. P3 17:42Goal by Eller (Hagelin, Gudas)+5 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Hagelin, Eller, Panik, Gudas, Kempny · PIT Crosby, Johnson, Letang, McCann, Simon

  83. P3 19:20Shot by Carlson, saved by Murray6v5
  84. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  85. P3 0:00Final